
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arsenal is officially crowned the winner of at least one of the following competitions: the 2025–26 English Premier League, UEFA Champions League, Carabao Cup or FA Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for Arsenal to win any of the four listed competitions (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from winning, or eliminated from, all four competitions), the market will immediately resolve to "No". If one or more of the listed competitions is canceled or is otherwise not completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the results of the listed competitions that have been completed at that time. If Arsenal has not won any listed competition by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the organizers of the listed competitions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-arsenal-win-a-trophy-this-season
Volume
95.6K
24h volume
2.8K
1w volume
38.4K
Open interest
47.5K
Liquidity
8.2K
Liquidity CLOB
8.2K
Start
Jan 15, 2026
End
May 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 15, 2026
Event ID
166480
Slug
will-arsenal-win-a-trophy-this-season
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Arsenal lead the Premier League table with 70 points from 32 matches (+38 goal difference), six clear of Manchester City, positioning them as favorites for the title despite a recent wobble including a 1-2 loss to Bournemouth on April 11 and earlier exits from the FA Cup quarterfinals at Southampton (2-1) and Carabao Cup final to City. A mounting injury crisis—ruling out Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, Jurrien Timber, and Riccardo Calafiori for tonight's Champions League quarterfinal second leg versus Sporting CP (1-0 aggregate lead at home)—has eroded trader confidence, dropping Premier League implied probabilities from over 90% to around 56% while UCL chances hover near 26%. This skin-in-the-game consensus tempers overall trophy odds at 61.6%, balancing their table dominance against squad depth concerns and a congested run-in.",
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}- Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Vol 95.6KLiq 8.2KEnd May 30, 2026OpenOrder book