Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027

Volume

9.5K

24h volume

362

1w volume

934

Open interest

5.3K

Liquidity

11.5K

Liquidity CLOB

11.5K

Start

Nov 13, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 13, 2025

Event ID

79215

Slug

will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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      "slug": "russia-rejoin-g7",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "G7 leaders' unified opposition, excluding the US, anchors trader consensus at 93% against Russia rejoining before 2027, as decisions require full consensus among Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the UK. Despite US President Trump's repeated 2025 calls for readmission tied to Ukraine peace talks—including at the June G7 summit in Canada—German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, French President Emmanuel Macron, and UK officials rejected the idea, citing Russia's 2014 Crimea annexation and ongoing Ukraine war. A February 2026 G7 statement reaffirmed \"unwavering support\" for Ukraine amid continued sanctions, while Russian officials dismissed G7 as outdated. The June 2026 summit in France offers no signals of thaw, underscoring structural barriers.",
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