Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Ticker

will-trump-dance-during-tpusa-event-on-april-17

Volume

1.1K

24h volume

1.1K

1w volume

1.1K

Open interest

900

Liquidity

4.9K

Liquidity CLOB

4.9K

Start

Apr 16, 2026

End

Apr 17, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 16, 2026

Event ID

385833

Slug

will-trump-dance-during-tpusa-event-on-april-17

Markets

1

Raw event data
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      "label": "Ymca",
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      "id": "104657",
      "label": "Dance",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects a 74.5% implied probability for Yes, driven by President Trump's near-routine signature \"Trump dance\"—a fist-pump sway to music like YMCA at rally conclusions—which he performed at multiple 2026 events, including an Iowa rally on January 27, Georgia on February 19, Texas on February 27, and a campaign-style appearance in Las Vegas on April 16. The Turning Point USA \"Build the Red Wall\" event today at Dream City Church in Phoenix, headlined by Trump alongside Erika Kirk and Rep. Andy Biggs, mirrors high-energy conservative gatherings where such moves energize crowds, as seen at prior TPUSA appearances, with doors opening at 10 a.m. for remarks.",
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