Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?

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    "context_description": "President Donald Trump's Truth Social attack on Pope Leo XIV over the weekend—labeling the first U.S.-born pontiff \"weak on crime\" and \"terrible for foreign policy\" after the pope urged peace amid the U.S.-Israel war in Iran—has fueled their public feud, yet traders price \"No\" at 72.5% probability of further disparagement by April 30. This consensus reflects de-escalation signals, including Pope Leo's calm Gospel invocation aboard his papal flight to Algeria, refusing fear of the administration, alongside backlash from Catholic leaders, Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, and uneasy GOP senators citing poll risks. With the pope's demanding African tour underway and Trump's focus on Iran military objectives, additional personal barbs appear improbable in the next two weeks.",
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