Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Ticker
will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-423
Volume
96.4K
24h volume
96.4K
1w volume
96.4K
Open interest
32.3K
Liquidity
33.2K
Liquidity CLOB
33.2K
Start
Apr 12, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 12, 2026
Event ID
371125
Slug
will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-april-15-423
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"title": "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?",
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"context_description": "President Trump's two recent invocations of \"Praise be to Allah\"—first in an Easter Sunday Truth Social post threatening Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, and again on April 11 in a rant amid escalating tensions following a reported pilot rescue—were interpreted as taunts amid aggressive foreign policy posturing. With no verified statements using the phrase since April 11 and only two days until the April 15 resolution, traders price an 86% implied probability on \"No,\" reflecting the absence of fresh diplomatic or military catalysts that previously prompted the rhetoric. Ongoing Iran negotiations and White House briefings show no signs of renewed escalation to trigger another instance.",
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}- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Vol 96.4KLiq 31.7KOpenOrder book
