Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31

Volume

335.9K

24h volume

7.8K

1w volume

42.0K

Open interest

24.9K

Liquidity

22.8K

Liquidity CLOB

22.8K

Start

Mar 11, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 11, 2026

Event ID

259462

Slug

will-trump-talk-to-mojtaba-khamenei-by-march-31

Markets

3

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "President Donald Trump has explicitly ruled out direct negotiations with Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, stating on March 23 that U.S. talks with Iran exclude the supreme leader amid ongoing military tensions following U.S. strikes that killed Ali Khamenei in early March. Traders assess low odds for personal contact due to Trump's repeated public skepticism about Mojtaba's legitimacy, health, and leadership—calling him \"damaged\" and \"unacceptable\"—while indirect diplomacy faltered with failed Islamabad talks on April 12, prompting Trump's announcement of a Strait of Hormuz naval blockade. A prior two-week ceasefire expired without progress, and escalation signals, including Iranian vows of retaliation, diminish near-term prospects for dialogue before potential resolution deadlines.",
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