Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-trump-visit-north-korea-by-april-30

Volume

95.7K

24h volume

4.9K

1w volume

15.7K

Open interest

27.5K

Liquidity

20.8K

Liquidity CLOB

20.8K

Start

Feb 16, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 16, 2026

Event ID

212052

Slug

will-trump-visit-north-korea-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?",
  "description": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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      "description": "If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not visit North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, invitations, or preparatory diplomacy despite the tight three-week timeline remaining. In March, Trump expressed openness to meeting Kim Jong Un—potentially during an upcoming China trip—following discussions with South Korea's prime minister, but no concrete plans materialized amid ongoing North Korean ballistic missile tests, including launches as recent as yesterday. Historical precedents like the 2019 DMZ step-over fell short of a full Pyongyang visit, underscoring logistical and security barriers. Only an abrupt diplomatic breakthrough, such as a sudden summit invitation, could shift odds, though geopolitical tensions with Iran and regional priorities make this improbable.",
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