
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-24-march-31
Volume
402.2K
24h volume
402.2K
1w volume
402.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
1.1M
Liquidity CLOB
1.1M
Start
Mar 21, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 21, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
291733
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-24-march-31
Markets
30
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"title": "Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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{
"id": "10000",
"ticker": "elon-tweets",
"slug": "elon-tweets",
"title": "Elon Tweets",
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"context_description": "Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet count from March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around 280-339 posts (combined ~32% implied probability), reflecting his recent high-volume patterns of 30-45 daily tweets during active stretches tied to Tesla updates, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary. Leading bins like 300-319 and 280-299 (both 11%) edge ahead due to historical weekly averages hovering near 300 amid 2024's election frenzy and Cybercab hype, but remain neck-and-neck with 320-359 (10.5%) as traders weigh variance from quiet lulls or viral spikes. Key differentiators include potential 2026 catalysts like Robotaxi rollout rumors or X algorithm tweaks, amplifying uncertainty in this eight-day window where one controversy could swing 50+ posts.",
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