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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122
Volume
8.2M
24h volume
141.4K
1w volume
519.6K
Open interest
243.2K
Liquidity
1.5M
Liquidity CLOB
1.5M
Start
Feb 5, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 5, 2026
Event ID
199763
Slug
next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122
Markets
61
Raw event data
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"question": "Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?",
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"context_description": "Andy Burnham leads trader consensus at 47% for next UK prime minister by the end of 2026, ahead of the 28% implied probability that Keir Starmer remains in post through the year. Recent poor Labour performance in May 2026 local and devolved elections triggered a party leadership crisis, with over 95 MPs urging Starmer to resign or set a timetable and Health Secretary Wes Streeting stepping down. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham gained National Executive Committee approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, a move widely viewed as positioning him for a Westminster return and potential challenge. Polls indicate Labour support rises notably under a hypothetical Burnham leadership, reflecting trader assessment of internal dynamics and succession timing within the governing party.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-26T16:46:00.330Z"
}
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- Will Person B be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person C be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person D be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person E be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person F be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person G be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person H be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person I be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person J be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person K be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person L be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person M be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person N be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person O be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person P be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Q be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person R be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person S be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person T be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person U be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person V be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person W be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person X be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Y be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Z be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AA be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AB be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AC be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AD be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AE be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AF be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AG be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AH be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AI be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AJ be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AK be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AL be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AM be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person AN be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another person be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book