Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Name: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Start: 2025-10-16T22:33:46.896383Z
End: 2026-10-10T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Ticker
nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
Volume
20.0M
24h volume
67.3K
1w volume
539.3K
Open interest
1.1M
Liquidity
2.1M
Liquidity CLOB
2.1M
Start
Oct 16, 2025
End
Oct 10, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 16, 2025
Event ID
60182
Slug
nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
Markets
Tags
Awards Politics Geopolitics World
Raw event data
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "18",
      "label": "Awards",
      "slug": "awards",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:41.709+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:41.713Z",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
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    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field remains highly fragmented just months after nominations closed, with 287 total candidates—including 208 individuals—fueling trader caution and low individual probabilities. Volodymyr Zelenskyy edges ahead amid ongoing Ukraine conflict narratives, while Donald Trump’s positioning reflects nomination buzz from several world leaders and diplomatic claims, though the Norwegian committee’s secrecy limits clarity. Yulia Navalnaya and organizations like UNRWA draw support from opposition and humanitarian angles, yet no single frontrunner has consolidated momentum. With the October announcement still distant and historical upsets common, traders see a wide-open contest where late developments or committee priorities could quickly shift the implied odds.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-06-11T08:30:49.075Z"
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}
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Ford Motor Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
APTV
Aptiv
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ON Semiconductor
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
QuantumScape Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 540.5KLiq 71.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 3.6MLiq 457.6KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 189.8KLiq 79.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 2.0MLiq 70.8KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 640.2KLiq 85.9KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 742.3KLiq 79.1KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 577.7KLiq 77.9KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.3MLiq 91.8KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 803.4KLiq 89.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.1MLiq 73.2KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.3MLiq 90.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 526.3KLiq 69.1KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.1MLiq 106.4KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 682.2KLiq 78.1KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 997.5KLiq 107.2KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 926.3KLiq 119.4KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 889.2KLiq 66.8KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 832.4KLiq 106.2KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 652.8KLiq 88.6KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 591.7KLiq 98.5KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person A win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person C win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person E win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person G win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person I win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person K win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person M win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person O win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Q win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person S win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person U win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person W win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Y win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AE win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AG win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AI win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AK win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AM win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AO win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AQ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AS win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AU win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AW win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will any other person or organization win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person B win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person D win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person F win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person H win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person J win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person L win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person N win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person P win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person R win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person T win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person V win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person X win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Z win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AB win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AD win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AF win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AH win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AJ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AL win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Overview

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