
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on XXX or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Ticker
republican-2026-senate-odds-hit-by-march-31
Volume
445.3K
24h volume
153.0K
1w volume
217.5K
Open interest
55.5K
Liquidity
65.9K
Liquidity CLOB
65.9K
Start
Dec 5, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 5, 2025
Event ID
96756
Slug
republican-2026-senate-odds-hit-by-march-31
Markets
8
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"title": "Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?",
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{
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"question": "2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the \"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?\" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.\n\nThe resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the \"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?\" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-senate-election-republican-odds-under-55-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.\n\nNote: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.",
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