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Brazil Presidential Election
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ticker
brazil-presidential-election
Volume
83.7M
24h volume
1.3M
1w volume
7.4M
Open interest
2.4M
Liquidity
7.3M
Liquidity CLOB
7.3M
Start
Sep 18, 2025
End
Oct 4, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Sep 18, 2025
Event ID
45915
Slug
brazil-presidential-election
Markets
32
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds the leading position in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential race due to his established Workers’ Party base, consistent first-round polling leads near 45 percent, and incumbency advantages in a fragmented field. Flávio Bolsonaro trails as the primary right-wing contender after receiving an endorsement from his ineligible father, Jair Bolsonaro, which helped consolidate Liberal Party support, yet recent mid-May audio leaks linking him to funding requests in the Banco Master scandal have widened projected runoff gaps in surveys. Other candidates such as Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado register lower shares, reflecting the right’s ongoing reorganization ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Trader consensus on these probabilities reflects ongoing polling trends and the impact of verified recent developments on candidate viability.",
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}
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- Will Person M win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Person O win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Person U win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Person Y win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person V win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person X win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Z win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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