Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ticker
brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
Volume
4.3M
24h volume
7.6K
1w volume
121.0K
Open interest
96.0K
Liquidity
783.0K
Liquidity CLOB
783.0K
Start
Feb 11, 2026
End
Oct 4, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 11, 2026
Event ID
204972
Slug
brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
Markets
32
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote because he has consolidated the core right-wing and evangelical voter base behind the Liberal Party candidacy, following his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility. Recent polling from June shows him trailing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by roughly 10 points in first-round scenarios while outpacing fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos. A May Banco Master film-funding scandal temporarily eroded Flávio’s numbers and lifted Lula’s runoff margins, yet no rival has capitalized enough to displace him as the primary opposition standard-bearer. Renan Santos draws modest youth and activist support but remains distant in aggregates, while other listed figures register negligible shares amid the two-round system’s emphasis on the leading pair.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:06:37.642Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Related stocks
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- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 138.7KLiq 44.1KEnd Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 339.2KLiq 38.0KEnd Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Person M finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person N finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person O finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person P finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Q finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person R finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person S finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person T finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person U finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person V finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person W finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person X finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Y finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Z finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another person finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 4, 2026OpenOrder book