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California Governor Election Winner
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Ticker
california-governor-election-2026
Volume
8.2M
24h volume
22.7K
1w volume
496.3K
Open interest
121.4K
Liquidity
799.7K
Liquidity CLOB
799.7K
Start
Oct 9, 2025
End
Nov 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 9, 2025
Event ID
57096
Slug
california-governor-election-2026
Markets
45
Raw event data
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"slug": "california-governor-election-2026",
"title": "California Governor Election Winner",
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"question": "Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?",
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"question": "Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?",
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"context_description": "In California's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with Gov. Gavin Newsom term-limited, trader consensus favors Rep. Eric Swalwell at 47% implied probability to win the November general election, driven by his recent lead in Emerson and other primary polls, a key California Teachers Association endorsement on March 30, and strong fundraising amid a fragmented Democratic field. Billionaire Tom Steyer holds 26% on heavy self-funding exceeding $100 million and affordability-focused town halls, while Fox News host Steve Hilton's 11% surged today following President Trump's full endorsement via Truth Social, citing California's crime and tax woes. The nonpartisan June 2 top-two primary risks a Republican advance if Democrats split votes further, as recent UC Berkeley/Politico polling shows; a CNN debate on May 5 could shift dynamics.",
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}- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 126.0KLiq 32.0KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 2.6MLiq 18.4KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 116.7KLiq 42.0KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 91.3KLiq 32.6KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 510.1KLiq 43.3KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 168.3KLiq 33.9KEnd Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option G win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option I win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Option M win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option O win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Q win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option S win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option U win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option W win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Y win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option F win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option H win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option J win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option L win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option N win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Option R win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option T win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option V win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option X win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Z win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book