Overview
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Ticker
california-governor-election-2026
Volume
38.3M
24h volume
2.4M
1w volume
5.0M
Open interest
894.4K
Liquidity
6.5M
Liquidity CLOB
6.5M
Start
Oct 9, 2025
End
Nov 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 9, 2025
Event ID
57096
Slug
california-governor-election-2026
Markets
45
Raw event data
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"id": "144",
"label": "Elections",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:31.008+00",
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"label": "California Midterm",
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"context_description": "Xavier Becerra holds an overwhelming edge in the California gubernatorial race due to the state's structural Democratic advantage and his consolidation of support in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. As the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary, Becerra advanced with roughly 28% of the vote amid a crowded field, securing the Democratic slot against Republican Steve Hilton, who finished second near 25%. California’s partisan lean, combined with high Democratic turnout patterns and endorsements from labor and progressive groups, positions Becerra as the clear frontrunner for the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects this through elevated implied probabilities for Becerra, consistent with historical base rates for Democratic performance in statewide contests and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid for the party. Hilton’s path remains narrow, hinging on turnout among Republican and independent voters plus any late shifts in voter sentiment. Other listed contenders, including Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and Antonio Villaraigosa, fell short in primary returns and show negligible general-election viability under current conditions.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-11T11:00:48.927Z"
}
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- Will Option G win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option I win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option K win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option M win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option O win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Q win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option S win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option U win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option W win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Y win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Other win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option F win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option H win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option J win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option L win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option N win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option P win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option R win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option T win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option V win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option X win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Option Z win the California Governor Election in 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 3, 2026OpenOrder book