
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ticker
databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap
Volume
366.3K
24h volume
424
1w volume
464
Open interest
6.3K
Liquidity
29.6K
Liquidity CLOB
29.6K
Start
Sep 23, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Sep 23, 2025
Event ID
48297
Slug
databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap
Markets
8
{
"id": "48297",
"ticker": "databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap",
"slug": "databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap",
"title": "Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:29:27.85642Z",
"creationDate": "2025-09-23T00:29:27.856415Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 29599.48889,
"volume": 366329.603143,
"openInterest": 6278.458077000001,
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:56.43604Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:47:02.675147Z",
"competitive": 0.8665088898396417,
"volume24hr": 423.88,
"volume1wk": 463.554,
"volume1mo": 33359.31527,
"volume1yr": 38327.53274700001,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 29599.48889,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"commentCount": -1,
"markets": [
{
"id": "608384",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x96328426a073773bf2fce95638608f22c82b97479f2ff716b29b45b0c0c14e2e",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-less-than-100b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3030.79421",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:07.018634Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",
"volume": "32043.891546",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:57.592552Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:51.460919Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<100B",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 32043.891546,
"liquidityNum": 3030.79421,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"95283166983401852140768599286936151280161849901026954996037024891041219741938\", \"16624530711809689041578804201043541896139077796685075339451355982145980880157\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 32043.891546,
"liquidityClob": 3030.79421,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x57d31bb9ca1407701205be4cfb091bec6e1e92e1553ad65cf136ea401ad87ce4",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:46Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.806067918073675,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.007,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.006,
"lastTradePrice": 0.006,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.013,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:31.923603Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608385",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x2d2678a04ab2d0aa57dc9ec11bdbfd1d43d681b2ee9869d8351db84e342400fa",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-between-100b-and-125b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "6320.41513",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:11.05815Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",
"volume": "38327.53274699998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:58.239949Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:49.479985Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "100–125B",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c01",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 38327.53274699998,
"liquidityNum": 6320.41513,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 423.88,
"volume1wk": 463.554,
"volume1mo": 33359.31527,
"volume1yr": 38327.53274700001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"86901640170488441461039486375209273801637244131459161912800989458184462290377\", \"14094013348979601436291334540102877105210326586952348557584020637903743574642\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 423.88,
"volume1wkClob": 463.554,
"volume1moClob": 33359.31527,
"volume1yrClob": 38327.53274700001,
"volumeClob": 38327.53274699998,
"liquidityClob": 6320.41513,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x97e2525fcf8f71a54576ea076356203010a9e30224dd08d50bf93d540eb50a1e",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:50Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8054303726585385,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.005,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.002,
"lastTradePrice": 0.01,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.011,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:31.974417Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608386",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x635762b17e8c98765f956bc145d703960059147f17f4b82d5b31eebb6c2ddd00",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-between-125b-and-150b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3066.22764",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:13.01875Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]",
"volume": "24261.158844999998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:58.858183Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:45.300925Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "125–150B",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c02",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 24261.158844999998,
"liquidityNum": 3066.22764,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"97129993192515764054986309667509263264351752306534898219600726529346982639419\", \"110174647420062908094974443969794900336935492448720570986651156715151919402427\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 24261.158844999998,
"liquidityClob": 3066.22764,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x7a85bdfbc10f892e193fe8881c6c639e6f113bc5338d895d5ba566b6f1adeb30",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:52Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8073421308059757,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.013,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.009,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.018,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:31.976302Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608387",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x2b96617ac801c90f18538e4e7d3e10b4a1060c848db1583709ab394c18927725",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-between-150b-and-175b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3156.22772",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:17.230957Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]",
"volume": "58624.67004599999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:59.465296Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:43.80373Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "150–175B",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c03",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 58624.67004599999,
"liquidityNum": 3156.22772,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"86489390395289359558613323877663292913780330098362124791393340809410168632241\", \"78017339386553777998494211841152287267601271450675946315067245004698616252637\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 58624.67004599999,
"liquidityClob": 3156.22772,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x16338112e3b09e2fca354a53fa83848c7c351269ee9c0946a4dc68de11bc703d",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:54Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8095691068428829,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0105,
"lastTradePrice": 0.014,
"bestBid": 0.014,
"bestAsk": 0.016,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:31.978733Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608388",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xe4566295f012b5ccbc0a21801d3787a6ddc44e7af1fd321a781dea1e35aa1f2d",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-between-175b-and-200b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "6914.88344",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:17.556781Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",
"volume": "57012.099082000146",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:37:00.075087Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:35.30307Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "175–200B",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c04",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 57012.099082000146,
"liquidityNum": 6914.88344,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"40258441904933891010741847628826824539468167050258173540390180564710955661099\", \"39008943502543765967058042173497862478025464237288390919790957540044067925544\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 57012.099082000146,
"liquidityClob": 6914.88344,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf9eadcfb1b05d100d0f1928d580afc48e7dc17715abf876612b0ab3ef3db12d6",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:54Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8105223634264752,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.021,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0305,
"lastTradePrice": 0.024,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.027,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:31.980255Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608389",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x9d6feb93a424ea09ee082dd704693119dc9c202599a1e5cd9bdcf908489cc95f",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-between-200b-and-250b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2499.11865",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:16.978536Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]",
"volume": "19022.130678999998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:37:00.689213Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:50:06.381947Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "200–250B",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c05",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 19022.130678999998,
"liquidityNum": 2499.11865,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"54250590526818870500092439523908193238020944970615992738858971233115521538962\", \"109076367793614928186151139774319227410374347854675886238564598742526375778916\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 19022.130678999998,
"liquidityClob": 2499.11865,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x00e442e3229f1974bb7904a4747a4e19f25e6e939a88649906988bba146d7e2e",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:54Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8073421308059757,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.011,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0055,
"lastTradePrice": 0.01,
"bestBid": 0.006,
"bestAsk": 0.017,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:32.126291Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608390",
"question": "Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x10ad20638c990a13c5c092bac8c33b9af4f2843f799eb47e949d11fe0673c3ac",
"slug": "will-databricks-market-cap-be-greater-than-250b-at-market-close-on-ipo-day",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "2993.90446",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:19.288099Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",
"volume": "124206.90885599989",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:37:01.27586Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:05.387518Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "250B+",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c06",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 124206.90885599989,
"liquidityNum": 2993.90446,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"82712470265251700739331694672360544122893066934757473974734613171971970115364\", \"6273889179081414778679463791254230404267393920209348468962063224822611709754\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 124206.90885599989,
"liquidityClob": 2993.90446,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x96bd2f058eae2b60fe18bc7881f1d8cda3926cbc9867093756b4d69588862cde",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:56Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8121095275877667,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.028,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0035,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.034,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.015,
"lastTradePrice": 0.052,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.033,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:32.279287Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "608391",
"question": "Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x4a3fec7d1056cb56f28fb7b67d02caefd0e7644f5fc01ee2d1378ce407aa79e4",
"slug": "will-databricks-not-ipo-by-june-30-2026",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "715.71947",
"startDate": "2025-09-23T00:18:19.03335Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap-_m8KVjKlRPmd.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.8925\", \"0.1075\"]",
"volume": "12831.211342",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:37:01.896113Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T03:49:10.313178Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "No IPO by June 30, 2026",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c07",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 12831.211342,
"liquidityNum": 715.71947,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-09-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"88917568612774539217144914924255697346050145484024820245675466470965610063405\", \"7952083005317791503025893439294526265208794880077080681972614336214155210938\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 12831.211342,
"liquidityClob": 715.71947,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xc2ff8703783a0ee7996548f1ebd8971d6d22e8220608db87fab941ce75766c00",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x2d7640af6213d100f078546035b204988d4cf140ba8f3a5ac42614ce3797e801",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:17:56Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8665088898396417,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.035,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0425,
"lastTradePrice": 0.875,
"bestBid": 0.875,
"bestAsk": 0.91,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:32.420869Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102599",
"label": "IPO",
"slug": "ipo",
"createdAt": "2025-09-17T00:03:12.42045Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.784376Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102610",
"label": "Databricks",
"slug": "databricks",
"createdAt": "2025-09-22T19:36:56.953746Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.681626Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "600",
"label": "IPOs",
"slug": "ipos",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-30 16:53:29.136+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-30T16:53:29.141Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.513025Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-09-23T00:15:04.967848Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at an 89.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, banker hires, or official timeline announcements as of early April. CEO Ali Ghodsi's recent comments emphasize product innovation over public market timing, following a February $5 billion funding round that boosted private valuation to $134 billion without liquidity pressure. The data analytics leader's lakehouse platform continues strong revenue growth to a $5.4 billion run rate, fueled by AI/ML workloads and expansions like March's Lakewatch cybersecurity tool, yet historical delays since 2021 rumors sustain caution. Watch for Q2 regulatory filings or market window shifts amid queued mega-IPOs like SpaceX, which could accelerate or deter action.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T03:33:55.078Z"
}
}