Fed Decision in December?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ticker
fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632
Volume
336.7K
24h volume
45.6K
1w volume
116.4K
Open interest
82.2K
Liquidity
975.4K
Liquidity CLOB
975.4K
Start
Jul 30, 2026
End
Dec 9, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 30, 2026
Event ID
770450
Slug
fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632
Markets
5
Raw event data
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}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
C
Citigroup Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
MS
Morgan Stanley
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
COF
Capital One
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
AXP
American Express Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
DFS
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SYF
Synchrony Financial
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
V
Visa Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Vol 56.2KLiq 452.4KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Vol 88.7KLiq 243.7KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Vol 68.1KLiq 91.5KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Vol 67.2KLiq 78.6KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Vol 56.4KLiq 108.5KEnd Dec 9, 2026OpenOrder book