Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30
Volume
318.7K
Open interest
1.9K
Liquidity
700
Liquidity CLOB
700
Start
Jan 12, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 12, 2026
Event ID
158656
Slug
jerome-powell-federally-charged-by-june-30
Markets
2
Raw event data
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"context_description": "The Justice Department closed its criminal probe into former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in April 2026 without filing charges, referring renovation-related allegations tied to his June 2025 Senate testimony to the Fed’s inspector general instead. Prosecutors cited insufficient evidence after a federal judge quashed subpoenas, noting the absence of criminal conduct beyond policy disagreements over interest rates. With Powell’s term as chair having ended in May and Kevin Warsh now leading the FOMC amid steady 3.50–3.75% policy rates and sticky inflation near 2.5–3%, no new federal actions have emerged. Traders price in negligible implied probability of indictment by year-end, reflecting institutional barriers, evidentiary thresholds, and the shift in leadership that removed the prior political flashpoint.",
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- Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Vol 2.2KLiq 700End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Vol 316.4KLiq —End Jun 30, 2026Closed