Next French Presidential Election
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Ticker
next-french-presidential-election
Volume
107.8M
24h volume
154.2K
1w volume
2.2M
Open interest
655.0K
Liquidity
11.4M
Liquidity CLOB
11.4M
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Apr 30, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
79987
Slug
next-french-presidential-election
Markets
128
Raw event data
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"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T22:46:54.990114Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent polls show Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leading first-round voting intentions near 30 percent ahead of the April 2027 contest, with Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon clustered behind, reflecting RN strength on immigration and security alongside a fragmented center and divided left. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban have shifted trader attention toward Bardella as the likely RN standard-bearer. Philippe’s positioning as a Macron-era successor faces headwinds from investigations and weak consolidation among centrist voters, while Mélenchon’s recent gains highlight left-wing mobilization. These crosscurrents, plus uncertainty over runoff pairings and coalition dynamics, keep probabilities closely matched among the top three and limit separation until clearer candidate fields and voter alignments emerge.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:31:38.546Z"
}
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- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 1.2MLiq 161.9KEnd Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 1.0MLiq 169.2KEnd Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 850.9KLiq 188.9KEnd Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person E win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person F win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person G win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person H win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person I win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person J win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person L win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person M win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person O win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person P win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person U win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person V win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person Y win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person AC win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AD win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AE win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AF win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AG win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AH win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AI win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AJ win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AK win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AL win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AM win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AN win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AO win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AP win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AQ win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person AR win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person BU win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person BV win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person BW win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person BX win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person BY win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CA win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person CB win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CD win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person CE win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CG win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person CH win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Person CI win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CN win the 2027 French presidential election?Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2027OpenOrder book
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