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Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Volume
1.7M
24h volume
1.9K
1w volume
46.4K
Open interest
27.2K
Liquidity
157.9K
Liquidity CLOB
157.9K
Start
Jan 19, 2026
End
Sep 13, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 19, 2026
Event ID
166435
Slug
next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Markets
36
Raw event data
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-19T20:13:42.288736Z",
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"context_description": "Polls consistently show the Social Democrats, led by Magdalena Andersson, as Sweden's largest party at around 33% support ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election under proportional representation, positioning her as trader consensus favorite to become next prime minister via bloc negotiations or negative parliamentarism. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson's Moderates trail at 17-18%, with the Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats) hovering near but not securing a clear majority in recent surveys from Indikator, Ipsos, and others. Kristersson's April 1 announcement pledging cabinet posts like immigration to Sweden Democrats' Jimmie Åkesson if the right forms a majority government aims to consolidate right-wing votes, yet has not shifted polling enough to overtake Andersson amid ongoing Liberal-SD pacts like the March \"Sweden Promise.\" The closely contested race reflects uncertainty in coalition formation.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-05T22:48:28.010Z"
}
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