Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Name: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Start: 2025-10-16T22:30:31.859771Z
End: 2026-10-10T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Ticker
nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
Volume
23.0M
24h volume
34.5K
1w volume
147.4K
Open interest
1.2M
Liquidity
2.5M
Liquidity CLOB
2.5M
Start
Oct 16, 2025
End
Oct 10, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 16, 2025
Event ID
60182
Slug
nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139
Markets
Tags
Awards Politics Geopolitics World
Raw event data
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "18",
      "label": "Awards",
      "slug": "awards",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:41.709+00",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
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      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
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      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
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      "label": "World",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:31:39.893Z"
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}
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
Ford Motor Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
APTV
Aptiv
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ON Semiconductor
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
QuantumScape Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
AI and compute
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 277.9KLiq 94.1KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 763.9KLiq 115.1KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 2.0MLiq 99.5KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 796.4KLiq 83.6KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 770.8KLiq 112.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 4.2MLiq 515.9KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 891.9KLiq 92.4KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 615.4KLiq 81.4KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 670.9KLiq 109.7KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 842.8KLiq 82.0KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.4MLiq 95.5KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 1.3MLiq 82.4KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.0MLiq 74.3KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.4MLiq 119.6KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 1.2MLiq 121.7KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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Vol 858.5KLiq 85.9KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 1.1MLiq 125.2KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 893.2KLiq 133.7KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 676.0KLiq 116.8KEnd Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person A win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person B win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person C win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person D win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person E win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person F win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person G win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person H win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person I win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person J win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person K win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person L win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person M win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person N win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person O win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person P win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Q win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person R win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person S win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person T win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person U win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person V win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person W win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person X win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Y win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person Z win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AB win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AD win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AE win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AF win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AG win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AH win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AI win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AJ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AK win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AL win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AM win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AN win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AO win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AP win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AQ win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AS win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AT win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AU win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AW win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Person AX win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Will any other person or organization win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Oct 10, 2026OpenOrder book
Overview

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