
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Ticker
nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-non-gaap-20260803225836882
Volume
7.0K
24h volume
1.8K
1w volume
2.1K
Open interest
1.5K
Liquidity
2.6K
Liquidity CLOB
2.6K
Start
Aug 4, 2026
End
Aug 26, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Aug 4, 2026
Event ID
798046
Slug
nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-non-gaap-20260803225836882
Markets
5
{
"id": "798046",
"ticker": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-non-gaap-20260803225836882",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-non-gaap-20260803225836882",
"title": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:04.759863Z",
"creationDate": "2026-08-04T21:18:11.210316Z",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nvidia-data-center-revenue-above-in-q1-n-fGNerZqdWV.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nvidia-data-center-revenue-above-in-q1-n-fGNerZqdWV.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 2640.33976,
"volume": 7003.972903000001,
"openInterest": 1518.7567750000003,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:47.517256Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:51:00.146531Z",
"competitive": 0.9433739770288437,
"volume24hr": 1840.97,
"volume1wk": 2147.56,
"volume1mo": 5492.928955,
"volume1yr": 5492.928955,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 2640.33976,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "3347169",
"question": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin <72%?",
"conditionId": "0x6f2197f5fdd1689535b4faf71338e07c37ef93ca49e15d2ff7ea4d8d678ae7b1",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-72-20260803225818671",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1268.88343",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:04.759863Z",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",
"volume": "250.73000000000002",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:47.802294Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:50:36.767405Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<72%",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 250.73000000000002,
"liquidityNum": 1268.88343,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 25,
"volume1wk": 56.79,
"volume1mo": 250.73,
"volume1yr": 250.73,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"32994800865605587127843810274969857767045681598795540105171600468010600103982\", \"76151938726237557613511285296521311579577342022119083744482806958106419789498\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 25,
"volume1wkClob": 56.79,
"volume1moClob": 250.73,
"volume1yrClob": 250.73,
"volumeClob": 250.73000000000002,
"liquidityClob": 1268.88343,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb1286370a64d6f61aaa273d758b7b188c56e747a26cd7b0bbe71a7d39e68d937",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:15:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8187525445293923,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.039,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0205,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.062,
"bestBid": 0.01,
"bestAsk": 0.049,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:14:08.532748Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "finance_prices_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3347170",
"question": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 72%-74%?",
"conditionId": "0xa4c773ab30a95436ff10279f7b8b9c1dad7821b45016b3b5b79972c72a111101",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-72-74-20260803225818672",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "424.26595",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:09.099992Z",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.048\", \"0.952\"]",
"volume": "960.67",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:47.947791Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:50:36.767405Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "72%-74%",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b001",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 960.67,
"liquidityNum": 424.26595,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"17651771619179041472744537087953503340611649130221017993412233522481117982085\", \"58533203765314335471728420882376656135201065999863926597433643943903073061292\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 960.67,
"liquidityClob": 424.26595,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x5f4d67f52caf31aee0a5d546197067a9ae2a03b2719ab30f30c67980add0b307",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:15:08Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8303551262804076,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.074,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0035,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.026,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0455,
"lastTradePrice": 0.007,
"bestBid": 0.011,
"bestAsk": 0.085,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:14:08.610583Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "finance_prices_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3347171",
"question": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?",
"conditionId": "0x0c4e3e74cc20bdd8380b60ce489178403e6c801028d7065f6ede90733a9a6352",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-74-76-20260803225818673",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "950.5162",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:11.113649Z",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.765\", \"0.235\"]",
"volume": "5242.198955000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:48.086731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:50:36.767405Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "74%-76%",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b002",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 5242.198955000001,
"liquidityNum": 950.5162,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1815.97,
"volume1wk": 2090.77,
"volume1mo": 5242.198955,
"volume1yr": 5242.198955,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"65347182265264265424333762667428038846566279619618221541184032576767073225423\", \"14353177847449637000680036096607017041343822518830021008001958289441826466630\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1815.97,
"volume1wkClob": 2090.77,
"volume1moClob": 5242.198955,
"volume1yrClob": 5242.198955,
"volumeClob": 5242.198955000001,
"liquidityClob": 950.5162,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x99377b0e24697b4c6f9818580860055944b1366222499beb7e80357e3cf43e3a",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:15:11Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.738162535915345,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1464747",
"conditionId": "0x0c4e3e74cc20bdd8380b60ce489178403e6c801028d7065f6ede90733a9a6352",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 47,
"startDate": "2026-08-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.21,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.15,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.03,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.13,
"lastTradePrice": 0.88,
"bestBid": 0.66,
"bestAsk": 0.87,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:14:08.703239Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "finance_prices_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3347172",
"question": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 76%-78%?",
"conditionId": "0xc582094e993362a354cf384a33ba69041056cb2fcdbfd3693ea14c9f2961f451",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-76-78-20260803225818674",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "721.71573",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:14.05332Z",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.188\", \"0.812\"]",
"volume": "319.925743",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:48.236708Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:50:36.767405Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "76%-78%",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b003",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 319.925743,
"liquidityNum": 721.71573,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"41294611467169848464090183220327587494832491657842432912666122527700311244475\", \"50731769004663650003299733606806525180845293271417803722212015814874191987112\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 319.925743,
"liquidityClob": 721.71573,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x230379be502f3b010f68ed76ba146b50d0246444384ad1cd40c4f07a369dadb8",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:15:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.5886941560713869,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1472664",
"conditionId": "0xc582094e993362a354cf384a33ba69041056cb2fcdbfd3693ea14c9f2961f451",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 30,
"startDate": "2026-08-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.354,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.1335,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0075,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.1085,
"lastTradePrice": 0.12,
"bestBid": 0.011,
"bestAsk": 0.365,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:14:08.760599Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "finance_prices_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "3347173",
"question": "NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 78%+?",
"conditionId": "0x4c6daf8c81f48a718555ad7acf3f42890d47803cc460118fab385dbf8b165cc9",
"slug": "nvidia-nvda-q2-adjusted-gross-margin-78-20260803225818675",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-08-26T21:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "555.79882",
"startDate": "2026-08-04T21:16:18.206374Z",
"description": "This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.1385\", \"0.8615\"]",
"volume": "230.448205",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-08-04T21:12:48.37143Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:50:36.767405Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "78%+",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b004",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 230.448205,
"liquidityNum": 555.79882,
"endDateIso": "2026-08-26",
"startDateIso": "2026-08-04",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"23878609251037930272897630997041631568263556899150903444903163941238271277355\", \"104339864618290492689393987463864242465297039395868282931192090371891838291099\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 230.448205,
"liquidityClob": 555.79882,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x805aa8a6b6e5623e3984d8e9f07ae0640c6a503b5a6548c0ee80314daad3b000",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x385700712ad9fbf13f562ffc77d6c68e4080eb0a2f17826e1f3b97ee22984daa",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:15:18Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.6571253771782479,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "1475494",
"conditionId": "0x4c6daf8c81f48a718555ad7acf3f42890d47803cc460118fab385dbf8b165cc9",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 20,
"startDate": "2026-08-19",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.257,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.091,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0045,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.1165,
"lastTradePrice": 0.124,
"bestBid": 0.01,
"bestAsk": 0.267,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:14:08.838312Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "finance_prices_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
},
"version": "v1"
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "12305",
"ticker": "nvda-kpis",
"slug": "nvda-kpis",
"title": "NVDA KPIs",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2026-07-18T03:20:14.666969Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-19T11:51:25.206853Z",
"volume24hr": 1840.97,
"volume": 9812.324632000002,
"liquidity": 3267.60165,
"commentCount": 0,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "439",
"label": "AI",
"slug": "ai",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:08:32.469+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T23:08:32.49Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:49.674936Z",
"isCarousel": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104548",
"label": "KPIs",
"slug": "kpis",
"createdAt": "2026-04-10T20:11:25.973047Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:27.684284Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100266",
"label": "NVDA",
"slug": "nvda",
"createdAt": "2024-06-13T20:25:19.978831Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:23:14.253691Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.21105Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1330",
"label": "NVIDIA",
"slug": "nvidia",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-14 22:19:45.496+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-14T22:19:45.518Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-20T17:00:03.525366Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:17:43.066649Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:29.290644Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "nvda-kpis",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-08-04T21:13:05.173029Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "NVIDIA’s Q2 FY2027 non-GAAP gross margin guidance of 75.0 percent, plus or minus 50 basis points, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on Polymarket. Issued alongside the company’s May 2026 results, the outlook reflects sustained pricing power in the Data Center segment amid the Blackwell ramp and a favorable product mix, with consensus estimates clustered near the midpoint. Recent previews highlight limited margin pressure from component costs or architecture transitions, supporting the 71.5 percent implied probability for the 74-76 percent bucket. While 76-78 percent and 78 percent-plus outcomes capture some upside from potential yield improvements or mix shifts, the tight historical delivery around guidance and absence of new negative catalysts keep lower ranges at single-digit probabilities ahead of the late-August earnings release.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-19T11:19:26.711Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Broadcom Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
ASML Holding N.V.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Applied Materials Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Lam Research Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
KLA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Micron Technology Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Super Micro Computer Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Arista Networks Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Vertiv
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Oracle Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.