Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ticker
republican-presidential-nominee-2028
Volume
668.8M
24h volume
228.9K
1w volume
3.1M
Open interest
8.5M
Liquidity
47.7M
Liquidity CLOB
47.7M
Start
Jul 11, 2025
End
Nov 7, 2028
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 11, 2025
Event ID
31875
Slug
republican-presidential-nominee-2028
Markets
128
Raw event data
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"createdAt": "2024-03-07T20:41:56.773Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:08:23.096987Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102458",
"label": "Earn 4%",
"slug": "earn-4",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:22.871226Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "264",
"label": "Primaries",
"slug": "primaries",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:45:56.355+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:45:56.363Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:45:35.450392Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2028-11-07T12:00:00Z",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": true,
"countryName": "U.S.",
"electionType": "Republican Nomination",
"featuredOrder": 13,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-11T19:21:25.68584Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "RFK Jr., serving as HHS Secretary, leads trader consensus at 49% due to his high-profile “Make America Healthy Again” agenda, national tours, and rallies that have built a distinct populist base within the GOP since joining the Trump administration. Sitting Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 33.1% as the institutional frontrunner with early endorsements and polling strength, though his favorability remains mixed amid broader administration headwinds. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 23.9%, reflecting his cabinet role and policy visibility as a potential alternative. Lower-priced names such as Tucker Carlson and Ron DeSantis register limited movement, consistent with fewer recent catalysts shifting their positioning ahead of primary dynamics expected after the 2026 midterms.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:31:39.918Z"
}
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
GM
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
F
Ford Motor Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ALB
Albemarle Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
APTV
Aptiv
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
ON
ON Semiconductor
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
QS
QuantumScape Corporation
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
COIN
Coinbase Global Inc.
Crypto prices
Crypto-linked stocks are sensitive to spot prices, transaction activity, investor demand, and mining margins.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc.
Crypto prices
Crypto-linked stocks are sensitive to spot prices, transaction activity, investor demand, and mining margins.
MSTR
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Crypto prices
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MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
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- Will Person CE win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CG win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Person CH win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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- Will Person CK win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Person CL win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Person CM win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Person CN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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