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Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Ticker
richest-person-on-december-31-2026
Volume
1.5M
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
153.6K
Open interest
26.5K
Liquidity
295.5K
Liquidity CLOB
295.5K
Start
Nov 12, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 12, 2025
Event ID
79090
Slug
richest-person-on-december-31-2026
Markets
37
Raw event data
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"question": "Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?",
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"question": "Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability of being the richest person by December 31, 2026, reflecting his dominant $800+ billion net worth lead per the latest Forbes and Bloomberg rankings as of early April. Recent Forbes data from April 1 shows Musk atop the top 10 despite a $22 billion dip from Tesla stock volatility, dwarfing challengers like Jensen Huang ($154 billion, #7 on Nvidia's AI surge), Larry Ellison, and Jeff Bezos. Huang's 2.4% odds stem from Nvidia's blockbuster earnings and Blackwell chip hype, but the gap remains vast. Key catalysts ahead include Tesla's Q2 robotaxi updates, SpaceX milestones, and Nvidia GTC follow-ups, though tech market swings or regulatory hits could spark upsets in this high-stakes wealth race.",
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- Will Person A be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person C be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person E be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person G be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person I be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person K be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person M be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person O be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Q be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person S be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person U be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person W be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person Y be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person J be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another individual be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person B be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person F be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person D be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person H be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person L be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person N be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person P be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person R be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person T be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Person V be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Person Z be richest person on December 31?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book