
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Ticker
us-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
Volume
487.0K
24h volume
59.7K
1w volume
143.1K
Open interest
92.3K
Liquidity
1.9M
Liquidity CLOB
1.9M
Start
Dec 23, 2025
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 23, 2025
Event ID
119828
Slug
us-gdp-growth-in-q1-2026
Markets
7
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"title": "US GDP growth in Q1 2026?",
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"question": "Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?",
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