
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on
Volume
2.1M
Open interest
51.2K
Liquidity
—
Start
Oct 10, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 10, 2025
Event ID
57704
Slug
which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on
Markets
19
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}Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
NVIDIA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Broadcom Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
ASML Holding N.V.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Applied Materials Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Lam Research Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
KLA Corporation
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Micron Technology Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Super Micro Computer Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Arista Networks Inc.
Semiconductors and hardware supply chains are exposed to Taiwan manufacturing, China demand, and export-control policy.
Vertiv
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.
Oracle Corporation
AI events can shift accelerator demand, cloud capex, networking spend, server demand, and software sentiment.