Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Name: Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Start: 2025-10-10T21:54:22.495607Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on
Volume
927.1K
24h volume
1w volume
1.2K
Open interest
10.3K
Liquidity
162.2K
Liquidity CLOB
162.2K
Start
Oct 10, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 10, 2025
Event ID
57704
Slug
which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on
Markets
Tags
Tech OpenAI AI Grok GPT-5 Big Tech
Raw event data
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  "title": "Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)",
  "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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  "creationDate": "2025-10-10T21:54:22.495597Z",
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      "question": "Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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    {
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    {
      "id": "631128",
      "question": "Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-mistral-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
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      "id": "631130",
      "question": "Will Company A have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
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      "question": "Will Company C have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-company-c-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
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    {
      "id": "631134",
      "question": "Will Company E have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-company-e-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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    {
      "id": "631136",
      "question": "Will Company G have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xf3309fa90870496cfa0b08c1bfdb1ff692a88f3a8050c186ba113a7f46ad27e2",
      "slug": "will-company-g-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "0",
      "startDate": "2025-10-10T21:53:06.730853Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "question": "Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "slug": "will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
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      "id": "631131",
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      "question": "Will Company D have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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    {
      "id": "631135",
      "question": "Will Company F have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
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      "slug": "top-ai-company-style-on",
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    "context_description": "Trader sentiment favors Anthropic at 49.5% implied probability to hold the top AI model by June 30 on the Style Control leaderboard, driven by Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6 variants dominating current LMSYS Chatbot Arena rankings—often securing #1 and #2 spots after adjusting for stylistic biases. A March 26 leak revealed Anthropic's \"Mythos\" model, now in early customer testing as a \"step change\" in capabilities, fueling expectations of a pre-June release amid Q2 acceleration. Google trails at 17.5% with Gemini 3.1 Pro's recent Elo gains to ~1505, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (15%) and xAI's Grok-4.20 (7%) remain competitive but lag; DeepSeek (3.2%) eyes V4 launch. Model timelines often slip, with benchmarks evolving rapidly ahead of resolution.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T18:49:26.787Z"
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}
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Will Company A have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company C have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company E have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company G have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will any other company have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company B have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company D have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company F have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Company H have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book