
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Ticker
will-gas-hit-by-end-of-april
Volume
435.7K
24h volume
36.4K
1w volume
93.9K
Open interest
77.9K
Liquidity
27.6K
Liquidity CLOB
27.6K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Event ID
326092
Slug
will-gas-hit-by-end-of-april
Markets
12
{
"id": "326092",
"ticker": "will-gas-hit-by-end-of-april",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-by-end-of-april",
"title": "Will gas hit __ by end of April?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:14:21.942276Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-31T15:14:21.942265Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 27640.76687,
"volume": 435695.6361589999,
"openInterest": 77858.181222,
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:34.759786Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T07:08:12.328535Z",
"competitive": 0.8729490335253894,
"volume24hr": 36372.32200800002,
"volume1wk": 93911.92630000004,
"volume1mo": 285342.91384799994,
"volume1yr": 285342.91384799994,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 27640.76687,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1794429",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0xb8383657b78d10e75815a5dda11bde5002bb3ea764c92f291bfb7c62706e6395",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-5pt00-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "4698.53471",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:07:02.953424Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
"volume": "70373.88444599997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:35.195122Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T07:07:07.986651Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $5.00",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x490d7a9db6ed8a88d6418e2fa56e8fb08c1ba21f3611145e92db7a4fc3e910d5",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 70373.88444599997,
"liquidityNum": 4698.53471,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 640.141585,
"volume1wk": 4687.681032000001,
"volume1mo": 70373.88444599997,
"volume1yr": 70373.88444599997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"85078860136205652013754664129612892517358720261092205450872818637552271427720\", \"98823648048446622893285482266656090498004690143962943171382851923986139407408\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 640.141585,
"volume1wkClob": 4687.681032000001,
"volume1moClob": 70373.88444599997,
"volume1yrClob": 70373.88444599997,
"volumeClob": 70373.88444599997,
"liquidityClob": 4698.53471,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:05:57Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8015991903848178,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0205,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.004,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:04:39.272407Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1794431",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0x49ff7ceb5b773962f2358d4de8a17073a16df451083ec52373380c8670c591e7",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-4pt50-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "728.84849",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:07:04.906384Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.104\", \"0.896\"]",
"volume": "32692.341014",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:35.882955Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T07:07:10.852112Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $4.50",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x135ff997bbd17bd18bb6bd20445627e73ea742cb67fd8e4a2fbc4a75d61436c6",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 32692.341014,
"liquidityNum": 728.84849,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4646.690136,
"volume1wk": 13912.662353999996,
"volume1mo": 32692.34101400001,
"volume1yr": 32692.34101400001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"18159040651142495468143772466487493764089432075881608055219672799447465444617\", \"23183022515481942384149636144126307162952370247788327451488932382512280403268\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4646.690136,
"volume1wkClob": 13912.662353999996,
"volume1moClob": 32692.34101400001,
"volume1yrClob": 32692.34101400001,
"volumeClob": 32692.341014,
"liquidityClob": 728.84849,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:05:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.864441708966681,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.19,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.087,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.0665,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0835,
"lastTradePrice": 0.122,
"bestBid": 0.009,
"bestAsk": 0.199,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:04:39.273967Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1794433",
"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0x0a3aa4a9cbb8d8cdbc7232f3892765992a74392d1080cf4d11a6256a66d67f11",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-high-4pt15-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:07:00.838852Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "40224.331377999995",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:36.575227Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T23:18:43.825554Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-08 13:26:47+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↑ $4.15",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x8aa1b44630ee878681f206d5c8384ab69a62280d0401902764e28ad53c7a37bb",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-08T13:26:47Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 40224.331377999995,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"73275275599666114443282190823164786657535757946221048612932398608477913340142\", \"39767004251702484216918153694926671955254881686624838721603422411761525810827\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 40224.331377999995,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:05:55Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0695,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:04:39.275597Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1794435",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0x6f9143b5c37be6829a0cd89127d146cb7eccf777e17bd355b06641641a14192f",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-low-3pt95-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "4006.8452",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:07:09.054749Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",
"volume": "17269.704874999996",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:37.268043Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T07:07:45.407884Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↓ $3.95",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0x55675ca97c872eb3f1ab0ffe06eb549aa2ce1ccb983a80292cb127b0d08088ca",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 17269.704874999996,
"liquidityNum": 4006.8452,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2756.556973,
"volume1wk": 8302.366177000002,
"volume1mo": 17269.704875,
"volume1yr": 17269.704875,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"36670386458118089039927941441728072797492195160507526524701920755402449647938\", \"68194608652728561373769833930469541678539242696632458917192643688531171197329\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2756.556973,
"volume1wkClob": 8302.366177000002,
"volume1moClob": 17269.704875,
"volume1yrClob": 17269.704875,
"volumeClob": 17269.704874999996,
"liquidityClob": 4006.8452,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:06:03Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8025579125789717,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.006,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.008,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.206,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.007,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:04:39.283556Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "economics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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"rate": 0.05,
"takerOnly": true,
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}
},
{
"id": "1794437",
"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0x4b52008c9bc50b34548394a92f59c412a37d9348f58d3c54c1246ea25f7cfa1f",
"slug": "will-gas-hit-low-3pt75-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "4828.14915",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T15:07:05.159414Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",
"volume": "10650.90943",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-30T18:03:37.950004Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T07:07:18.375169Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "↓ $3.75",
"groupItemThreshold": "8",
"questionID": "0x06895c8aca141c20182ec5ef3ef400d99affdd0b535440d9c317056300c7fb67",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 10650.90943,
"liquidityNum": 4828.14915,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 357.845554,
"volume1wk": 1887.314661,
"volume1mo": 10650.90943,
"volume1yr": 10650.90943,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"65972805222486182315717565163028226626376810206481975080963178113930966675214\", \"28482813678325346818005687319976208774139804896647941663353623821699876217406\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 357.845554,
"volume1wkClob": 1887.314661,
"volume1moClob": 10650.90943,
"volume1yrClob": 10650.90943,
"volumeClob": 10650.90943,
"liquidityClob": 4828.14915,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T15:05:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8025579125789717,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
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"question": "Will gas hit (High) $4.05 by April 30?",
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"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?",
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"question": "Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?",
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"context_description": "US national average regular gasoline prices climbed to $4.23 per gallon according to AAA on April 29, 2026—the highest in four years—propelled by the US-Iran war that began February 28 with US-Israel strikes, triggering Strait of Hormuz closure, crude oil rally above $100 per barrel, and supply disruptions. Prices have risen nearly 40% since late February amid stalled peace talks, refinery outages, falling gasoline inventories per the EIA's April 29 weekly petroleum status report for the week ending April 24, and seasonal summer driving demand. As the market deadline hits today, April 30, resolution hinges on AAA's \"Current Avg.\" regular price reaching or exceeding listed thresholds on any day this month, with potential de-escalation signals or EIA's next update on May 6 influencing trader assessments.",
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