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Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Volume
42.4M
24h volume
400.1K
1w volume
4.0M
Open interest
10.1M
Liquidity
1.2M
Liquidity CLOB
1.2M
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90177
Slug
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Markets
6
Raw event data
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"tags": [
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
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{
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{
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"label": "Aliens",
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"forceShow": false,
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"estimateValue": false,
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent Pentagon releases of declassified UAP files, prompted by President Trump’s February 2026 directive for unprecedented transparency, represent the key driver shaping trader sentiment around potential US confirmation of alien existence. These initial batches detail decades of sightings, videos, and reports from pilots and civilians yet contain no verified evidence of extraterrestrial life or technology, aligning with longstanding AARO assessments that unexplained phenomena do not indicate off-world origins. Ongoing rolling disclosures through the Department of War’s new portal could introduce fresh data or statements, but historical patterns of government handling suggest incremental revelations rather than dramatic announcements. Cultural fascination with UFO narratives continues to fuel public interest, though market-implied odds remain tempered by the absence of conclusive proof in precursor reports.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-22T00:30:59.492Z"
}
}Related stocks
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BAC
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WFC
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C
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GS
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MS
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RIVN
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LCID
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Tesla and EV policy
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SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
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COF
Capital One
Fed rates and inflation
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GM
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Tesla and EV policy
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