Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Volume
65.5M
24h volume
44.6K
1w volume
567.9K
Open interest
8.5M
Liquidity
1.0M
Liquidity CLOB
1.0M
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Jan 1, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90177
Slug
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Markets
6
Raw event data
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
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"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-25T18:01:11.430398Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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"feeType": "politics_fees",
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},
"version": "v1"
},
{
"id": "1654506",
"question": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x1f4b7a59e09d34209391c549db18b2c5c7be842e70a5c5fb30e2cdbb9d68c929",
"slug": "will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-march-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-01T03:59:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-19T20:20:44.650651Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1941378.0626180035",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T20:17:17.475276Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-08-21T17:31:36.723163Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-01 07:28:45+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x8deb5f50e71bc03fc3ede4cabf52f3de542f34e8df6e73a1a926af6c70a1f415",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-01T07:28:45Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 1941378.0626180035,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-01",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"104592249296929730460568602412541090396383082867742680952022395642006023581899\", \"106528164517709838250890607296325850318623164807558046766817407318232281502756\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 1941378.0626180035,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-19T20:19:39Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-19T20:18:24.855176Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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"feesEnabled": true,
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],
"tags": [
{
"id": "71",
"label": "Aliens",
"slug": "aliens",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:18.133+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:18.145Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:55:08.008334Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "74",
"label": "Science",
"slug": "science",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent U.S. government releases of declassified UAP files, driven by a 2026 executive order, have increased transparency through batches of documents, videos, and witness accounts from agencies including the Pentagon, FBI, and NASA. These materials detail unresolved sightings such as orb-like objects but contain no official determination of extraterrestrial life or technology. Trader odds remain low because market resolution requires a definitive public statement from the President, Cabinet members, Joint Chiefs, or a federal agency by the end of 2026. Ongoing congressional activity, including UAP-related amendments to the National Defense Authorization Act and advisory panels, could generate further disclosures, yet historical patterns and current case status indicate high barriers to crossing the confirmation threshold.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-08-25T06:31:27.937Z"
},
"version": "v1"
}Related stocks
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BAC
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WFC
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GS
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LCID
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SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
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COF
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GM
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