Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Volume
50.0M
24h volume
360.9K
1w volume
2.6M
Open interest
9.3M
Liquidity
3.2M
Liquidity CLOB
3.2M
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90177
Slug
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Markets
6
Raw event data
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},
{
"id": "2034747",
"question": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?",
"conditionId": "0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4",
"slug": "will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-may-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-20T16:14:00.53002Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "8741732.8038059",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-20T16:10:05.839476Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-06-02T07:57:25.5761Z",
"closedTime": "2026-06-01 08:12:33+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "May 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xb0bd2440a7949c04a2ffb837addf7fe60ba2f1188da69ab033f012cbdae7527a",
"umaEndDate": "2026-06-01T08:12:33Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 8741732.8038059,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 5,
"volume1mo": 5,
"volume1yr": 5,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"12389685960289535793784844547591626184160820043533024006256206890230791648531\", \"14610469786080462231417990007220962378400770437109203380723373332109029744810\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 5,
"volume1moClob": 5,
"volume1yrClob": 5,
"volumeClob": 8741732.8038059,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-20T16:12:58Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.021,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-20T16:11:24.534183Z",
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}
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "74",
"label": "Science",
"slug": "science",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "71",
"label": "Aliens",
"slug": "aliens",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:18.133+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:18.145Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:55:08.008334Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"featuredOrder": 14,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent UAP file releases ordered by the Trump administration have fueled public buzz around potential disclosure without delivering the confirmation traders seek. The Pentagon's May 2026 tranches, posted on a dedicated site with photos, videos, and reports spanning decades, framed cases as unresolved anomalies rather than extraterrestrial evidence, aligning with prior AARO assessments. Ongoing rolling declassifications and congressional briefings, including recent claims from Rep. Tim Burchett about alien contact details, sustain cultural interest in the topic as a viral pop-culture narrative. Yet these steps echo historical patterns of incremental transparency without paradigm-shifting proof, leaving market-implied odds for confirmation by year-end at modest levels amid the absence of definitive statements or artifacts.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-07T16:15:41.724Z"
}
}Related stocks
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JPM
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BAC
Bank of America Corporation
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WFC
Wells Fargo & Company
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C
Citigroup Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
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GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
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TSLA
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MS
Morgan Stanley
Fed rates and inflation
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RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
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LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
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SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
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COF
Capital One
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
GM
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
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AAPL
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Tariffs and trade
Tariffs can change input costs, gross margins, sourcing strategy, retail prices, and demand for import-heavy businesses.
AXP
American Express Company
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