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Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Volume
24.0M
24h volume
72.4K
1w volume
1.5M
Open interest
5.6M
Liquidity
699.5K
Liquidity CLOB
699.5K
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90177
Slug
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Markets
2
Raw event data
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{
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"label": "Aliens",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "President Trump's February 2026 directive to declassify UFO and UAP files, coupled with the White House's registration of alien.gov in March, has intensified public speculation and cultural buzz around potential extraterrestrial disclosure, yet official sources like the Pentagon's recent study and AARO's ongoing reports affirm no evidence of alien life in decades of sightings. Trader consensus remains deeply skeptical, with markets pricing in slim odds absent verifiable confirmation from credible government channels. Momentum hinges on impending file releases and congressional UAP probes, including Rep. Luna's transparency push, but historical patterns of prosaic explanations for anomalies suggest persistent uncertainty ahead of any resolution date.",
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}- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Vol 22.1MLiq 699.6KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Vol 1.9MLiq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed