Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Volume
61.5M
24h volume
74.2K
1w volume
729.2K
Open interest
8.3M
Liquidity
1.3M
Liquidity CLOB
1.3M
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90177
Slug
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
Markets
6
Raw event data
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"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-25T18:01:11.430398Z",
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},
{
"id": "1654506",
"question": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0x1f4b7a59e09d34209391c549db18b2c5c7be842e70a5c5fb30e2cdbb9d68c929",
"slug": "will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-march-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-19T20:20:44.650651Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/alien+head.jpeg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "1941378.0626180035",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T20:17:17.475276Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-28T13:33:33.33929Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-01 07:28:45+00",
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"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
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"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
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"volumeNum": 1941378.0626180035,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-19",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"104592249296929730460568602412541090396383082867742680952022395642006023581899\", \"106528164517709838250890607296325850318623164807558046766817407318232281502756\"]",
"comboStatus": "disabled",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-19T20:19:39Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
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"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
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"seriesColor": "",
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-19T20:18:24.855176Z",
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],
"tags": [
{
"id": "71",
"label": "Aliens",
"slug": "aliens",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:18.133+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:18.145Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:55:08.008334Z",
"isCarousel": false,
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},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "596",
"label": "Culture",
"slug": "pop-culture",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "74",
"label": "Science",
"slug": "science",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
"forceHide": true,
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}
],
"cyom": false,
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"showMarketImages": false,
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"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
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"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Recent UAP file releases under the Trump administration's PURSUE directive, including the Pentagon's third tranche of declassified documents and orb videos on June 12, 2026, have fueled trader interest without delivering confirmation of extraterrestrial life. Officials continue describing cases as unresolved, with no definitive evidence of non-human intelligence or alien technology, aligning with historical patterns of ambiguous sightings explained as mundane or unexplained phenomena. Bipartisan congressional pressure, whistleblower testimony from figures like David Grusch, and proposed transparency legislation sustain speculation, yet the absence of smoking-gun proof keeps implied probabilities low for near-term resolutions. Further rolling releases and hearings remain key upcoming catalysts that could shift sentiment if they yield stronger claims.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-06-18T02:17:54.903Z"
}
}Related stocks
Tickers mapped from the event's catalyst themes.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
BAC
Bank of America Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
WFC
Wells Fargo & Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
C
Citigroup Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
TSLA
Tesla Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
MS
Morgan Stanley
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
COF
Capital One
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
GM
General Motors Company
Tesla and EV policy
EV policy, Musk-specific events, and China trade can affect vehicle demand, margins, and investor sentiment.
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Tariffs and trade
Tariffs can change input costs, gross margins, sourcing strategy, retail prices, and demand for import-heavy businesses.
AXP
American Express Company
Fed rates and inflation
Rates and inflation affect discount rates, loan demand, credit quality, consumer spending, housing, and long-duration equity multiples.
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