50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Ticker

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-april-30

Volume

97.8K

24h volume

5.9K

1w volume

43.4K

Open interest

24.0K

Liquidity

12.2K

Liquidity CLOB

12.2K

Start

Mar 30, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 30, 2026

Event ID

326659

Slug

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "326659",
  "ticker": "50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-april-30",
  "slug": "50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-april-30",
  "title": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-30T22:26:11.784133Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-30T22:26:11.784111Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 12211.93543,
  "volume": 97762.18493900009,
  "openInterest": 24019.86529,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-30T21:51:42.268622Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-21T12:15:32.32175Z",
  "competitive": 0.8031967229573703,
  "volume24hr": 5919.101827,
  "volume1wk": 43376.50800499999,
  "volume1mo": 97762.18493900001,
  "volume1yr": 97762.18493900001,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 12211.93543,
  "commentCount": 38,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1796868",
      "question": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?",
      "conditionId": "0xb42fd0ab0f524148314cf1a570852e6ddf211b042df77936858fc878e05d7516",
      "slug": "50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-april-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "12221.93479",
      "startDate": "2026-03-30T22:23:32.984Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/of-views-of-next-mrbeast-video-on-day-1--HcOnJGLLP3O.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",
      "volume": "97762.18493900009",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-30T21:51:42.659727Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-21T12:14:21.877017Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x29819d72c13ea885ba3ca6a557c47531354ebbf099c7045224f1a7baba912ea0",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 97762.18493900009,
      "liquidityNum": 12221.93479,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 5919.101827,
      "volume1wk": 43376.50800499999,
      "volume1mo": 97762.18493900001,
      "volume1yr": 97762.18493900001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"97538777421914144150465291713209225053073589268882115866537269445509516441416\", \"65717684979897687052512678412829037102619883659332550712593973349884656726554\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 5919.101827,
      "volume1wkClob": 43376.50800499999,
      "volume1moClob": 97762.18493900001,
      "volume1yrClob": 97762.18493900001,
      "volumeClob": 97762.18493900009,
      "liquidityClob": 12221.93479,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-30T22:22:27Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8031967229573703,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.002,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.003,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.029,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.004,
      "bestBid": 0.004,
      "bestAsk": 0.006,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-30T22:19:32.713568Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:31:50.147585Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "145",
      "label": "MrBeast",
      "slug": "mrbeast",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:52.524+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:52.559Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:44:33.680573Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "146",
      "label": "YouTube",
      "slug": "youtube",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:53.403+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:53.409Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:09:35.189539Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs \"No\" at 99.2% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 50 million YouTube views in its first 24 hours by April 30, driven by recent upload trajectories consistently falling short—latest \"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000\" hit 37.9 million first-day views, while April 4's \"50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000\" and prior challenges topped out around 24-38 million despite massive hype and live stream extensions. MrBeast's production cycle for viral challenges demands weeks of filming, as seen with his ongoing Alaska project announced April 8, leaving scant window for a surprise banger. Historical peaks near 67 million (2024 non-music record) haven't recurred amid shifting audience habits and platform algorithms, though an unannounced mega-collab could spark an upset before month-end.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T11:23:17.635Z"
  }
}