50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.

Ticker

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-may-31

Volume

986

24h volume

77

1w volume

986

Open interest

845

Liquidity

2.8K

Liquidity CLOB

2.8K

Start

Apr 27, 2026

End

May 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 27, 2026

Event ID

424896

Slug

50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-may-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "50m-views-on-a-mrbeast-video-in-the-first-day-by-may-31",
  "title": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.",
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  "startDate": "2026-04-27T20:48:09.72547Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-27T20:48:09.725466Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
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      "id": "2099337",
      "question": "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "145",
      "label": "MrBeast",
      "slug": "mrbeast",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:52.524+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:52.559Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:44:33.680573Z",
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      "label": "YouTube",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:53.403+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:53.409Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:09:35.189539Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at a resounding 93.5% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent main channel videos consistently falling short of the 50 million first-24-hour views threshold despite massive long-term totals exceeding 100 million. His April 18 upload \"Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000\" sits at 108 million views after 11 days, while the hyped \"50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000\" from early April reached 99 million in three weeks—both peaking below 50 million on day one, per prior monthly Polymarket resolutions. This marks a departure from 2023-24 records like 71 million for battle royale challenges, amid YouTube algorithm changes, Shorts competition, and MrBeast's shift to live streams (1 million concurrent viewers) and Amazon's Beast Games. No May teasers signal a record-breaker before May 31, though a surprise high-stakes promo blitz could spark an upset.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-29T23:26:51.388Z"
  }
}