Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 75.5% implied probability against another U.S. sovereign credit rating downgrade before 2027, reflecting rating agencies' stable outlooks amid persistent fiscal pressures. Fitch Ratings affirmed its AA+/Stable rating on April 30, 2026, citing widening deficits and debt-to-GDP projected to reach 122% by 2027—up from 116.6% in 2025—but no immediate triggers like a debt ceiling impasse. Moody's May 2025 downgrade to Aa1 addressed similar governance and debt trajectory concerns, with S&P holding AA+/Stable since 2011. Absent acute political dysfunction or economic shock, traders anticipate no further action, though FY2027 budget battles and Treasury issuance could test sentiment.",
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