Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo Gaston
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Hugo Gaston in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Hugo Gaston. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Elmer Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
atp-moeller-gaston-2026-04-20
Volume
4.5K
24h volume
4.5K
1w volume
4.5K
Open interest
3.4K
Liquidity
108.9K
Liquidity CLOB
108.9K
Start
Apr 19, 2026
End
Apr 27, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 20, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Event ID
397068
Slug
atp-moeller-gaston-2026-04-20
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"active": true,
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"description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Hugo Gaston in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.\nThis market will resolve to \"Over\" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Under.\"\nAny first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.\nIf the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.\nResolution will be based on official ATP results.",
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"context_description": "Hugo Gaston holds a slight edge over Elmer Moller in their Madrid Open qualifying first-round clash on high-altitude clay, reflecting his No. 116 ATP ranking versus Moller's No. 129 and stronger 2026 clay form at 2-2 compared to Moller's 2-6 skid, including recent losses to Nicolas Jarry, Mariano Navone, and Francisco Cerundolo. The French lefty's tactical variety—drop shots, angles, and rhythm disruption—thrives on clay, bolstered by prior Madrid experience, while the 22-year-old Dane's baseline grinding has faltered against quality opposition. No head-to-head exists, but Madrid's faster conditions may limit extended rallies, favoring Gaston's disruption over Moller's consistency. No injury concerns reported ahead of the April 20 matchup.",
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}- Moeller vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5Vol 382Liq 688End Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set Handicap: Gaston (-1.5) vs Moeller (+1.5)Vol 5Liq 28.3KEnd Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5Vol —Liq 359End Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Elmer Moeller vs. Hugo Gaston: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol 16Liq 23.3KEnd Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set 1 Winner: Moeller vs GastonVol —Liq 24.6KEnd Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol —Liq 211End Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Hugo GastonVol 4.1KLiq 28.9KEnd Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol —Liq 45End Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol —Liq 2.5KEnd Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Moeller vs. Gaston: Match O/U 23.5Vol —Liq 128End Apr 27, 2026OpenOrder book