
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
atp-tsitsip-aguilar-2026-04-27
Volume
2.6K
24h volume
2.6K
1w volume
2.6K
Open interest
2.6K
Liquidity
36.5K
Liquidity CLOB
36.5K
Start
Apr 25, 2026
End
May 4, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 27, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Event ID
417970
Slug
atp-tsitsip-aguilar-2026-04-27
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"question": "Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus favors Stefanos Tsitsipas at 61% implied probability against qualifier Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open third round, reflecting Tsitsipas' superior clay-court pedigree as a former finalist despite his recent ranking slide to No. 80 amid a month-long winless streak snapped by a gritty R1 comeback over lucky loser Patrick Kypson. The 27-year-old Greek, now reporting a \"good place physically\" post-back injury woes, holds stylistic edges in baseline rallies suited to Madrid's high-bouncing clay. Merida Aguilar, the 21-year-old Spaniard peaking at No. 101 and riding home-crowd momentum from a stunning 6-3, 6-4 upset of No. 30 Corentin Moutet in R2, poses upset threat via fresh legs and qualifier resilience in their first head-to-head.",
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}- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)Vol —Liq 306End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida AguilarVol 2.7KLiq 19.2KEnd May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol —Liq 138End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol —Liq 175End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 23.5Vol —Liq 4End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 22.5Vol —Liq 784End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol —Liq 79End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol —Liq 311End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs AguilarVol —Liq 336End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book
- Tsitsipas vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 21.5Vol 16Liq 213End May 4, 2026OpenOrder book