Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

ben-gvir-out-as-israeli-minister-of-national-security-by-june-30

Volume

1.0K

24h volume

83

1w volume

1.0K

Open interest

864

Liquidity

22.7K

Liquidity CLOB

22.7K

Start

Apr 16, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 16, 2026

Event ID

380050

Slug

ben-gvir-out-as-israeli-minister-of-national-security-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Israel's High Court of Justice held chaotic, nearly 10-hour hearings last week on petitions urging Prime Minister Netanyahu to dismiss National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir over alleged unlawful interference in police investigations, promotions, and protest handling, temporarily restricting some of his appointment powers but adjourning without a final ruling. Netanyahu's coalition government, dependent on Ben-Gvir's far-right Otzma Yehudit for its Knesset majority, has vowed to ignore any dismissal order, as stated by the Justice Minister, amid stable budget approval and no snap election triggers. Traders price an 88.5% \"No\" probability on removal by June 30, reflecting this political insulation despite Attorney General backing for the petitions and ongoing judicial review.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-22T03:43:10.958Z"
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