
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Ticker
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026
Volume
100
24h volume
100
1w volume
100
Open interest
100
Liquidity
5.6K
Liquidity CLOB
5.6K
Start
May 1, 2026
End
May 3, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
May 2, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Event ID
438268
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "438268",
"ticker": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
"slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
"title": "Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"startDate": "2026-05-01T16:06:04.587267Z",
"creationDate": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
"endDate": "2026-05-03T16:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 5618.4899,
"volume": 99.95705699999999,
"openInterest": 99.957057,
"createdAt": "2026-05-01T16:00:00.96348Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:36.766912Z",
"competitive": 0.9997750506136119,
"volume24hr": 99.957057,
"volume1wk": 99.957057,
"volume1mo": 99.957057,
"volume1yr": 99.957057,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 5618.4899,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2133265",
"question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?",
"conditionId": "0x5ece7e650b7d1e3d82d4b08e1508c96f08a41c1028028326520e2d0a9286ea60",
"slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"endDate": "2026-05-03T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5618.4899",
"startDate": "2026-05-01T16:02:37.384904Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
"outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]",
"volume": "99.95705699999999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-05-01T16:00:01.196726Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:00.297202Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"questionID": "0x9538428fdd66fb795f075b0f6b9b59c433b4c699237bec643286bc4c356f45b7",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 99.95705699999999,
"liquidityNum": 5618.4899,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-03",
"startDateIso": "2026-05-01",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 99.957057,
"volume1wk": 99.957057,
"volume1mo": 99.957057,
"volume1yr": 99.957057,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"15864001993230660284438890461635592157126572162819548367267837162446835307383\", \"94005134728161937801921699591116707771562429389839048466274850158711541301819\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
"volume24hrClob": 99.957057,
"volume1wkClob": 99.957057,
"volume1moClob": 99.957057,
"volume1yrClob": 99.957057,
"volumeClob": 99.95705699999999,
"liquidityClob": 5618.4899,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 600,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-01T16:01:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9997750506136119,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.5,
"bestBid": 0.48,
"bestAsk": 0.49,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-01T16:00:16.000476Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"eventStartTime": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "crypto_fees_v2",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.072,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.2
}
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "41",
"ticker": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"slug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"title": "BTC Up or Down Daily",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
"layout": "default",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-03-14 16:37:23.07+00",
"createdBy": "15",
"updatedBy": "15",
"createdAt": "2023-03-14T16:37:21.67Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:51.144121Z",
"commentsEnabled": false,
"competitive": "0",
"volume24hr": 169466.85377099997,
"volume": 68923.2318879999,
"liquidity": 21168.8576,
"commentCount": 6779,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101757",
"label": "Recurring",
"slug": "recurring",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "235",
"label": "Bitcoin",
"slug": "bitcoin",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102133",
"label": "Today 🚀",
"slug": "today",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2025-05-13T11:57:56.529848Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:09.961047Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102281",
"label": "Daily",
"slug": "daily",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-06-17T20:32:17.531984Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:20:54.147303Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "103665",
"label": "Daily-Close",
"slug": "daily-close",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-02-05T19:41:58.984977Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:56:11.134556Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "21",
"label": "Crypto",
"slug": "crypto",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:03:54.55+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:03:54.564Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.349847Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1312",
"label": "Crypto Prices",
"slug": "crypto-prices",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00",
"createdBy": 15,
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2024-02-12T22:34:50.962Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:52:10.030771Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102127",
"label": "Up or Down",
"slug": "up-or-down",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
"seriesSlug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?Vol 100Liq 5.6KEnd May 3, 2026OpenOrder book