StocksCryptoPredict

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Ticker

bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026

Volume

100

24h volume

100

1w volume

100

Open interest

100

Liquidity

5.6K

Liquidity CLOB

5.6K

Start

May 1, 2026

End

May 3, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

May 2, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Event ID

438268

Slug

bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "ticker": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
  "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
  "title": "Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
  "startDate": "2026-05-01T16:06:04.587267Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-03T16:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 5618.4899,
  "volume": 99.95705699999999,
  "openInterest": 99.957057,
  "createdAt": "2026-05-01T16:00:00.96348Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:36.766912Z",
  "competitive": 0.9997750506136119,
  "volume24hr": 99.957057,
  "volume1wk": 99.957057,
  "volume1mo": 99.957057,
  "volume1yr": 99.957057,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 5618.4899,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "2133265",
      "question": "Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?",
      "conditionId": "0x5ece7e650b7d1e3d82d4b08e1508c96f08a41c1028028326520e2d0a9286ea60",
      "slug": "bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-3-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
      "endDate": "2026-05-03T16:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "5618.4899",
      "startDate": "2026-05-01T16:02:37.384904Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the May 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]",
      "volume": "99.95705699999999",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-05-01T16:00:01.196726Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:00.297202Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "questionID": "0x9538428fdd66fb795f075b0f6b9b59c433b4c699237bec643286bc4c356f45b7",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 99.95705699999999,
      "liquidityNum": 5618.4899,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-03",
      "startDateIso": "2026-05-01",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 99.957057,
      "volume1wk": 99.957057,
      "volume1mo": 99.957057,
      "volume1yr": 99.957057,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"15864001993230660284438890461635592157126572162819548367267837162446835307383\", \"94005134728161937801921699591116707771562429389839048466274850158711541301819\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "2",
      "volume24hrClob": 99.957057,
      "volume1wkClob": 99.957057,
      "volume1moClob": 99.957057,
      "volume1yrClob": 99.957057,
      "volumeClob": 99.95705699999999,
      "liquidityClob": 5618.4899,
      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 600,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-05-01T16:01:34Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9997750506136119,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.01,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.5,
      "bestBid": 0.48,
      "bestAsk": 0.49,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-05-01T16:00:16.000476Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "eventStartTime": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": "crypto_fees_v2",
      "feeSchedule": {
        "exponent": 1,
        "rate": 0.072,
        "takerOnly": true,
        "rebateRate": 0.2
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  ],
  "series": [
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      "id": "41",
      "ticker": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
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      "title": "BTC Up or Down Daily",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+TICKER.PNG",
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      "layout": "default",
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      "createdBy": "15",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T09:08:51.144121Z",
      "commentsEnabled": false,
      "competitive": "0",
      "volume24hr": 169466.85377099997,
      "volume": 68923.2318879999,
      "liquidity": 21168.8576,
      "commentCount": 6779,
      "requiresTranslation": false
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "101757",
      "label": "Recurring",
      "slug": "recurring",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:45:26.493838Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:25:43.117249Z",
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      "label": "Bitcoin",
      "slug": "bitcoin",
      "forceShow": true,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:40:32.968+00",
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      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:40:32.974Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:34.210222Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102133",
      "label": "Today 🚀",
      "slug": "today",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-13T11:57:56.529848Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:09.961047Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
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      "label": "Daily",
      "slug": "daily",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-06-17T20:32:17.531984Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:20:54.147303Z",
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      "slug": "daily-close",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-02-05T19:41:58.984977Z",
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      "label": "Crypto",
      "slug": "crypto",
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      "label": "Crypto Prices",
      "slug": "crypto-prices",
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      "publishedAt": "2024-02-12 22:36:40.783+00",
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      "label": "Hide From New",
      "slug": "hide-from-new",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
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      "isCarousel": false,
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      "label": "Up or Down",
      "slug": "up-or-down",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-09T20:56:58.880785Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.505979Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
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  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "startTime": "2026-05-02T16:00:00Z",
  "seriesSlug": "btc-up-or-down-daily",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
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}