Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is reinstated on YouTube by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from YouTube that either of Clavicular's channels (@LiveWithClav or @ClavLooksmax) will be reinstated will qualify regardless of whether the reinstatement has not gone into effect. The primary resolution source will be YouTube.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

clavicular-unbanned-from-youtube-by-april-30

Volume

9.5K

24h volume

2.2K

1w volume

9.5K

Open interest

5.1K

Liquidity

5.6K

Liquidity CLOB

5.6K

Start

Apr 23, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 23, 2026

Event ID

411202

Slug

clavicular-unbanned-from-youtube-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "clavicular-unbanned-from-youtube-by-april-30",
  "title": "Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is reinstated on YouTube by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOfficial announcements from YouTube that either of Clavicular's channels (@LiveWithClav or @ClavLooksmax) will be reinstated will qualify regardless of whether the reinstatement has not gone into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be YouTube.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is reinstated on YouTube by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOfficial announcements from YouTube that either of Clavicular's channels (@LiveWithClav or @ClavLooksmax) will be reinstated will qualify regardless of whether the reinstatement has not gone into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be YouTube.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "146",
      "label": "YouTube",
      "slug": "youtube",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:24:53.403+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:24:53.409Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:09:35.189539Z",
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    {
      "id": "103002",
      "label": "Clavicular",
      "slug": "clavicular",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-12-26T20:13:59.728642Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:44:53.666809Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors \"No\" at 97.7% implied probability for Clavicular's reinstatement on YouTube by April 30, driven by the platform's termination of his secondary channels—LiveWithClav and ClavLooksmax—just days ago on April 23 for evading his original November 2025 ban on severe violations like promoting restricted substances to youth. YouTube's strict policy against ban circumvention, coupled with notoriously slow appeal processes that often span months or years, solidifies this near-certain positioning amid the influencer's shift to Kick streaming. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise successful appeal of the root ban or rare platform mercy, though no such signals have emerged in the past 48 hours.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-25T23:59:50.421Z"
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