
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-may-31
Volume
958
24h volume
599
1w volume
958
Open interest
573
Liquidity
12.8K
Liquidity CLOB
12.8K
Start
Apr 27, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 27, 2026
Event ID
424330
Slug
congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-may-31
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Senate Republicans blocked Democrats' sixth attempt at an Iran War Powers Resolution yesterday in a 47-50 vote, the latest in a series of procedural defeats since early April, including House rejections on April 16 and prior blocks. With the 60-day War Powers clock expiring today, President Trump notified Congress that hostilities ended via an April 7 ceasefire, asserting no further authorization is needed and calling the law unconstitutional—a move that pauses urgency for congressional action. These partisan deadlocks and the executive declaration reflect trader consensus on slim odds of passage by May 31 absent major escalation or bipartisan shifts, despite ongoing U.S. forces and regional tensions.",
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}- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Vol 958Liq 12.8KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book