Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

doug-ford-out-as-pc-party-leader-by-december-31

Volume

944

Open interest

116

Liquidity

15.4K

Liquidity CLOB

15.4K

Start

Mar 30, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 30, 2026

Event ID

326283

Slug

doug-ford-out-as-pc-party-leader-by-december-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "doug-ford-out-as-pc-party-leader-by-december-31",
  "title": "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "id": "1795346",
      "question": "Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Ford ceases to be Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Doug Ford's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-30T22:31:35Z",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Ontario Premier Doug Ford's trader consensus of 86.5% against him stepping down as Progressive Conservative Party leader by December 31 reflects his firm public commitments to seek a fourth term, including explicit affirmations at the January 2026 PC convention and in subsequent interviews. No internal party revolt, leadership review, or major scandals have emerged to challenge his position, amid ongoing governance priorities like the March 2026 provincial budget and April housing partnerships with Ottawa. Recent polling dips and opposition criticism over spending, such as the cancelled government jet purchase, have not triggered resignation speculation from credible sources. With the next provincial election due by mid-2026, Ford remains the entrenched incumbent steering PC strategy.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-25T04:13:44.470Z"
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