Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

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  "title": "Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?",
  "description": "A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Israeli naval forces intercepted the Global Sumud Flotilla—comprising over 50 vessels carrying aid to challenge the Gaza blockade—in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, seizing at least 22 boats and detaining 175 activists more than 600 miles from Gaza, preventing any approach to Israeli waters. This early enforcement action, echoing historical interceptions like the 2010 Mavi Marmara incident, underscores Israel's firm blockade policy amid ongoing conflict, bolstering trader consensus at 69.5% for \"No\" entry by May 31. With the primary flotilla neutralized and no immediate plans for new attempts announced, markets reflect low odds of success despite a month remaining, barring unexpected diplomatic shifts or escalations.",
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