Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
james-comey-sentenced-to-prison-in-2026
Volume
11.0K
24h volume
11.0K
1w volume
11.0K
Open interest
6.2K
Liquidity
87.5K
Liquidity CLOB
87.5K
Start
Apr 28, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 28, 2026
Event ID
428372
Slug
james-comey-sentenced-to-prison-in-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, for the second time, charging him with making threats against President Trump and transmitting them via interstate commerce over a May 2025 Instagram post depicting seashells arranged as \"86 47\"—slang for removal paired with Trump's presidential number. The prior September 2025 indictment on false statements and obstruction charges was dismissed in November after a judge ruled the prosecutor's appointment unlawful. Trader consensus at 90.5% \"No\" reflects the early procedural stage, strong free speech defenses, disputed intent, and scant time remaining for arraignment, trial, conviction, and prison sentencing by year-end, despite DOJ pressure under Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche; only accelerated rulings or surprises could shift odds.",
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}- James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Vol 11.0KLiq 102.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
