Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Hong Kong courts sentenced pro-democracy media tycoon Jimmy Lai to 20 years in prison on February 9, 2026, under the national security law for collusion with foreign forces, prompting traders to price a 96.8% \"No\" probability of release by June 30. Lai's decision not to appeal the conviction in early March further entrenched his long-term detention, while a separate fraud conviction was overturned that month with time already served. Recent government moves to seize over $16 million in assets underscore ongoing legal pressures. Though remote, scenarios like a medical emergency, executive pardon, or diplomatic breakthrough could shift odds before resolution.",
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