Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026

Volume

975

24h volume

975

1w volume

975

Open interest

809

Liquidity

18.7K

Liquidity CLOB

18.7K

Start

Apr 24, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 24, 2026

Event ID

414520

Slug

lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
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    {
      "id": "166",
      "label": "South Korea",
      "slug": "south-korea",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:29:08.405+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "President Lee Jae-myung, who won South Korea's snap presidential election in June 2025 after Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment and removal over the martial law declaration, commands an 85.5% implied probability of remaining in office through 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his early-term stability. In the past 30 days, no National Assembly impeachment motions, Constitutional Court challenges, or disqualifying legal verdicts have surfaced, with his prior election law violation trial indefinitely postponed. Recent actions, including March's approval of judicial reforms to expand Supreme Court appointments and vows for robust response to the energy crisis tied to Iran tensions, signal power consolidation amid ruling Democratic Party control, outweighing scattered opposition critiques and bolstering expectations of continuity absent late-breaking scandals or health issues.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-25T23:27:05.828Z"
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