
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Ticker
north-korea-missile-testlaunch-by-april-30-2026-366
Volume
114
24h volume
114
1w volume
114
Open interest
83
Liquidity
1.9K
Liquidity CLOB
1.9K
Start
Apr 20, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 20, 2026
Event ID
399945
Slug
north-korea-missile-testlaunch-by-april-30-2026-366
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"title": "North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?",
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"title": "North Korea missile launch",
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"id": "351",
"label": "North Korea",
"slug": "north-korea",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:59:46.929+00",
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"context_description": "North Korea's April 19 test-fire of multiple short-range ballistic missiles toward the East Sea—its fourth launch this month and seventh in 2026, supervised by Kim Jong Un—marks the dominant recent military development, defying UN sanctions amid US-South Korea joint drills and US-Iran ceasefire talks expiring April 21. Despite this escalation signaling Pyongyang's persistent weapons buildup, trader consensus prices \"No\" at 58%, implying a post-salvo lull in the nine-day window to April 30, with no fresh provocations, official announcements, or detected preparations since. South Korea's Joint Chiefs and Japan's government condemned the action without triggering major diplomatic shifts, underscoring the unpredictable cadence of DPRK missile activity tied to perceived threats.",
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}- North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Vol 114Liq 1.8KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book