
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Ticker
nothing-ever-happens-obama
Volume
9.6K
24h volume
162
1w volume
1.2K
Open interest
2.7K
Liquidity
24.9K
Liquidity CLOB
24.9K
Start
Feb 11, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 11, 2026
Event ID
204502
Slug
nothing-ever-happens-obama
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"Nothing\" at 83% for former President Barack Obama facing no federal charges, arrest, or divorce through December 31, 2026, reflecting the total absence of official DOJ actions or credible legal proceedings since market launch in February. Longstanding partisan allegations tied to Russia collusion probes, including recent declassified reports and Trump statements demanding accountability, have produced no indictments or arrests, consistent with historical patterns where high-profile post-presidency probes fizzle without evidence. Obama's latest public appearance on April 18—joining New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Bronx childcare center to promote affordability—highlights routine philanthropic engagements, with no developments in the past 30 days signaling escalation. Late-breaking special counsel moves or personal filings could shift odds, but traders see formidable institutional barriers.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T19:45:01.935Z"
}
}- Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaVol 9.6KLiq 25.2KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book