Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf

Ticker

nothing-ever-happens-obama

Volume

9.6K

24h volume

162

1w volume

1.2K

Open interest

2.7K

Liquidity

24.9K

Liquidity CLOB

24.9K

Start

Feb 11, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 11, 2026

Event ID

204502

Slug

nothing-ever-happens-obama

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "ticker": "nothing-ever-happens-obama",
  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-obama",
  "title": "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-02-11T20:15:49.063259Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-02-11T20:15:49.063256Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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  "liquidity": 24926.3284,
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  "openInterest": 2734.990162,
  "createdAt": "2026-02-10T20:36:36.083465Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-21T19:49:17.500371Z",
  "competitive": 0.9017945711966814,
  "volume24hr": 162,
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      "id": "1363802",
      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama",
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      "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-obama",
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      "liquidity": "25186.3617",
      "startDate": "2026-02-11T20:13:32.659808Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Obama federally charged\n- Obama arrested\n- Obama divorce\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf",
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      "umaBond": "500",
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      "customLiveness": 0,
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-11T20:12:27Z",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
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    {
      "id": "101337",
      "label": "Parlays",
      "slug": "parlays",
      "createdAt": "2024-11-27T20:28:32.874197Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:57:11.879826Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"Nothing\" at 83% for former President Barack Obama facing no federal charges, arrest, or divorce through December 31, 2026, reflecting the total absence of official DOJ actions or credible legal proceedings since market launch in February. Longstanding partisan allegations tied to Russia collusion probes, including recent declassified reports and Trump statements demanding accountability, have produced no indictments or arrests, consistent with historical patterns where high-profile post-presidency probes fizzle without evidence. Obama's latest public appearance on April 18—joining New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Bronx childcare center to promote affordability—highlights routine philanthropic engagements, with no developments in the past 30 days signaling escalation. Late-breaking special counsel moves or personal filings could shift odds, but traders see formidable institutional barriers.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T19:45:01.935Z"
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}