Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30

Volume

93.8K

24h volume

2.1K

1w volume

18.8K

Open interest

45.9K

Liquidity

13.9K

Liquidity CLOB

13.9K

Start

Mar 24, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 24, 2026

Event ID

304330

Slug

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?",
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    "context_description": "Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote on January 24, 2025, continues to lead the Pentagon amid an escalating Iran conflict, with recent joint briefings alongside Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Dan Caine underscoring operational continuity. Trader consensus at 77.5% \"No\" reflects his resilience despite April shake-ups, including the dismissal of the Army's top officer on April 2 and reports of internal pushback from Pentagon officials over leadership changes. Earlier controversies, such as the 2025 Signal group chat leak prompting resignation calls, have not led to departure, bolstered by administration loyalty and wartime demands through June 30. No scheduled confirmation hearings or votes loom to alter his status.",
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