Pro Football Draft: Any team to trade into Top 10?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team acquires a top 10 pick in Round 1 of the 2026 NFL Draft via trade. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No". For the purpose of this market, any trade that occurs between teams that swap picks within the top 10, resulting in no more than a reorder of the top 10 picks, will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, only trades completed before the player selection is announced on the official broadcast of the 2026 NFL Draft will be considered, regardless of when the agreement was reached. Teams trading players selected in the top 10 after the selection has been announced on the official broadcast of the 2026 NFL Draft will not be considered. If the 1st round of the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

pro-football-draft-top-10-pick-traded

Volume

1.1K

24h volume

549

1w volume

1.1K

Open interest

808

Liquidity

727

Liquidity CLOB

727

Start

Apr 8, 2026

End

Apr 24, 2026

Status

Closed

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 8, 2026

Event ID

257596

Slug

pro-football-draft-top-10-pick-traded

Markets

1

Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices Yes at 94.4% for any team trading into the top 10 of the 2026 NFL Draft, driven by intense pre-draft buzz around sellers like the Browns (No. 6), Cardinals (No. 3), and Titans (No. 4) fielding offers to move down amid a thin blue-chip talent pool where execs grade only 13-15 first-rounders league-wide. Buyers including the Cowboys (No. 12), Dolphins (No. 11), and Rams (No. 13) eye aggressive jumps for defensive standouts like safeties Caleb Downs and Sonny Styles or edge rushers David Bailey, fueled by recent Giants' blockbuster acquisition of the No. 10 pick via Dexter Lawrence trade. Historical trends—46% of top-10 picks traded in recent drafts—reinforce expectations of inevitable Round 1 shuffling as needs collide with limited elite options.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-22T16:55:15.163Z"
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