Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Ongoing hostilities and stalled negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine war underpin trader consensus pricing \"No\" at 96%, reflecting near-certainty that Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy will not shake hands by June 30. Recent developments, including Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov's April 22 statement that Putin would meet only to finalize an agreement amid absent \"political will\" from Kyiv, and stalled peace talks highlighted by Iranian Foreign Minister's April 27 Moscow visit, show no momentum toward direct diplomacy. Zelensky's expressions of readiness for talks, such as in Azerbaijan, remain rhetorical without reciprocal steps. Persistent military actions—like Ukrainian refinery strikes and Russian bombardments—reinforce incompatible demands: Russia's territorial claims versus Ukraine's insistence on full withdrawal. Realistic shifts would require a sudden ceasefire, third-party mediated summit, or major concession before the deadline.",
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