Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-may-15

Volume

10.5K

24h volume

9.3K

1w volume

10.5K

Open interest

6.5K

Liquidity

22.4K

Liquidity CLOB

22.4K

Start

Apr 24, 2026

End

May 15, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 24, 2026

Event ID

413758

Slug

putin-meets-with-iranian-officials-by-may-15

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus slightly favors no in-person meeting between Vladimir Putin and Iranian officials by May 15, reflecting the absence of any announced bilateral summit or visit on the Kremlin's public calendar amid Putin's packed domestic schedule. Recent high-level phone diplomacy, including Putin's April 12 call with President Masoud Pezeshkian offering Russian mediation in the Iran conflict, underscores close Russia-Iran coordination on regional tensions, sanctions evasion, and strategic partnership, keeping odds competitive. A prospective Caspian Sea summit in August could host such an encounter, but the tight two-week window and lack of preparatory signals weigh against it; an official invitation or escalation in Middle East diplomacy could swiftly tip toward yes.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-26T01:12:13.503Z"
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