
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31
Volume
979
24h volume
979
1w volume
979
Open interest
558
Liquidity
24.6K
Liquidity CLOB
24.6K
Start
Apr 30, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 30, 2026
Event ID
435295
Slug
ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "U.S. prosecutors unsealed an indictment on April 29 charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and weapons offenses tied to the Sinaloa Cartel, alleging pre-2021 election pacts with Chapitos leaders for protection and support. Rocha denies the claims as politically motivated, vows to continue governing, and faces no immediate removal after Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum questioned evidence sufficiency while directing the FGR to investigate a U.S. extradition request. With Morena's congressional support in Sinaloa and gubernatorial impeachment requiring supermajority votes amid sovereignty tensions, traders price a 72.5% \"No\" probability, viewing procedural hurdles and lack of resignation signals as barring ouster by May 31.",
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}- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Vol 979Liq 20.8KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book