StocksCryptoPredict

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31

Volume

979

24h volume

979

1w volume

979

Open interest

558

Liquidity

24.6K

Liquidity CLOB

24.6K

Start

Apr 30, 2026

End

May 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 30, 2026

Event ID

435295

Slug

ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "435295",
  "ticker": "ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31",
  "slug": "ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31",
  "title": "Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-04-30T19:18:33.589027Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-30T19:18:33.58902Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ruben-rocha-moya-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-my-31-MLH8oju21-6T.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ruben-rocha-moya-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-my-31-MLH8oju21-6T.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 24601.2226,
  "volume": 979.0324179999999,
  "openInterest": 557.968618,
  "createdAt": "2026-04-30T18:28:47.511004Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-01T13:38:11.485666Z",
  "competitive": 0.9969841230278408,
  "volume24hr": 979.032418,
  "volume1wk": 979.032418,
  "volume1mo": 979.032418,
  "volume1yr": 979.032418,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 24601.2226,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "2126997",
      "question": "Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?",
      "conditionId": "0xac594b2385387474e8ad819047a94549ac6fbd1c6ccdb8a2515a36a3427faac0",
      "slug": "ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "20841.2226",
      "startDate": "2026-04-30T19:16:21.06398Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ruben-rocha-moya-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-my-31-MLH8oju21-6T.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ruben-rocha-moya-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-my-31-MLH8oju21-6T.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.445\", \"0.555\"]",
      "volume": "979.0324179999999",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-30T18:28:47.890713Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-05-01T13:39:55.140519Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x541fd34ae73b70d5b3d0916929fde5750ece499d5da6839ac96181a7495838c1",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 979.0324179999999,
      "liquidityNum": 20841.2226,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-30",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 979.032418,
      "volume1wk": 979.032418,
      "volume1mo": 979.032418,
      "volume1yr": 979.032418,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"32124564899744121199043453900310035455523022848450063485241074192036095513670\", \"101569085663992912838684189495897145966437648413203855610394159340753687603932\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 979.032418,
      "volume1wkClob": 979.032418,
      "volume1moClob": 979.032418,
      "volume1yrClob": 979.032418,
      "volumeClob": 979.0324179999999,
      "liquidityClob": 20841.2226,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-30T19:15:18Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9969841230278408,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "305375",
          "conditionId": "0xac594b2385387474e8ad819047a94549ac6fbd1c6ccdb8a2515a36a3427faac0",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 50,
          "startDate": "2026-04-30",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
      "spread": 0.05,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.47,
      "bestBid": 0.42,
      "bestAsk": 0.47,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-30T19:13:36.991822Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "104818",
      "label": "Extradite",
      "slug": "extradite",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-30T18:28:48.118919Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-30T18:30:02.711572Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101871",
      "label": "cartel",
      "slug": "cartel",
      "createdAt": "2025-02-19T20:38:27.426223Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:17:23.038606Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "956",
      "label": "Mexico",
      "slug": "mexico",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-06 03:18:46.037+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-06T03:18:46.05Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:33:30.036962Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "U.S. prosecutors unsealed an indictment on April 29 charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and weapons offenses tied to the Sinaloa Cartel, alleging pre-2021 election pacts with Chapitos leaders for protection and support. Rocha denies the claims as politically motivated, vows to continue governing, and faces no immediate removal after Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum questioned evidence sufficiency while directing the FGR to investigate a U.S. extradition request. With Morena's congressional support in Sinaloa and gubernatorial impeachment requiring supermajority votes amid sovereignty tensions, traders price a 72.5% \"No\" probability, viewing procedural hurdles and lack of resignation signals as barring ouster by May 31.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-05-01T02:43:01.699Z"
  }
}