StocksCryptoPredict

The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Inoue" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. It will resolve to "Nakatani" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani

Volume

112.6K

24h volume

110.3K

1w volume

112.6K

Open interest

65.5K

Liquidity

16.3K

Liquidity CLOB

16.3K

Start

Apr 30, 2026

End

May 4, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 30, 2026

Event ID

434885

Slug

the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "ticker": "the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani",
  "slug": "the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani",
  "title": "The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Inoue\" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Nakatani\" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-04-30T16:00:52.065998Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-30T16:00:52.065992Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z",
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  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 16337.20971,
  "volume": 112553.86628800005,
  "openInterest": 65499.356019,
  "createdAt": "2026-04-30T15:54:26.82282Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-05-02T17:21:03.485111Z",
  "competitive": 0.8015991903848178,
  "volume24hr": 110301.61338699999,
  "volume1wk": 112553.866288,
  "volume1mo": 112553.866288,
  "volume1yr": 112553.866288,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
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  "commentCount": 2,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "2125892",
      "question": "The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani",
      "conditionId": "0xf2a773e86b71a639971176f31367c25bcf3f772a6765ad78ccbdee895178ed58",
      "slug": "the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-04T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "16337.31571",
      "startDate": "2026-04-30T15:57:39.405959Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani-dREr-0Ze2PnV.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/the-day-naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani-dREr-0Ze2PnV.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Inoue\" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Nakatani\" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Inoue\", \"Nakatani\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.9975\", \"0.0025\"]",
      "volume": "112553.86628800005",
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      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
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      "endDateIso": "2026-05-04",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-30",
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
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      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
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      "negRiskRequestID": "",
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      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-30T15:56:36Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.1725,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.999,
      "bestBid": 0.996,
      "bestAsk": 0.999,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-30T15:55:22.793607Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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      "feeType": "sports_fees_v2",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "683",
      "label": "Boxing",
      "slug": "boxing",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-08 21:19:42.815+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-08T21:19:42.83Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T21:03:59.591671Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104807",
      "label": "Junto Nakatani",
      "slug": "junto-nakatani",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-30T15:54:27.519143Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-30T15:55:03.710109Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104808",
      "label": "Naoya Inoue",
      "slug": "naoya-inoue",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-30T15:54:27.532779Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-30T15:55:03.708981Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1",
      "label": "Sports",
      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:47:16.461062Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104362",
      "label": "Combat Sports",
      "slug": "combat-sports",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-27T21:42:38.622564Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:32:49.932603Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
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  "enableNegRisk": false,
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors Naoya Inoue at 99.8% implied probability to defeat Junto Nakatani in their undisputed super bantamweight title clash at Tokyo Dome, reflecting Inoue's status as pound-for-pound elite with a flawless 32-0 record (27 KOs) and devastating speed-power combination honed through multiple 122-pound defenses. Both fighters comfortably made weight Friday—Inoue at 121.9 pounds, Nakatani at 121.5—advancing smoothly from recent December victories that paved this all-Japanese superfight, with no injury reports or camp disruptions emerging in final pressers and workouts. Nakatani's three-inch height/reach edge and southpaw stance offer upset potential via counters, but Inoue's superior timing and knockout ratio temper such risks absent a fluke injury or early knockdown.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-05-02T17:08:18.638Z"
  }
}