Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Ticker

trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30

Volume

96.4K

24h volume

21.2K

1w volume

96.4K

Open interest

36.1K

Liquidity

49.1K

Liquidity CLOB

49.1K

Start

Apr 27, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 27, 2026

Event ID

424527

Slug

trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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    {
      "id": "102280",
      "label": "ICE",
      "slug": "ice",
      "createdAt": "2025-06-17T19:35:28.170248Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:27:08.764196Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "President Trump's April 27 endorsement on Truth Social of a viral conservative proposal to rebrand Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement (NICE) sparked media buzz but no concrete executive action or legislative introduction, keeping trader consensus firmly against an official rename by June 30. Renaming a statutorily established DHS agency like ICE typically requires congressional approval via appropriations or reorganization bills, or a formal executive order navigating bureaucratic reviews—processes historically spanning months amid competing border security priorities. With only two months remaining and no hearings, nominations, or agency memos signaled, the 85.5% \"No\" probability reflects skepticism over rapid implementation despite informal PR potential.",
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